Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas U.S. Senate by defeating four-term incumbent John Cornyn by roughly 27 points in the May 26 runoff primary, a result that aligns with trader pricing on a wide margin. The outcome followed President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Paxton one week prior, which consolidated support among primary voters focused on issues such as border security. Paxton maintained vote totals comparable to the March primary while Cornyn’s support dropped sharply, reflecting lower turnout among the incumbent’s backers. Certification of final tallies remains the remaining procedural step before market resolution, though historical patterns in Texas primaries show few successful challenges to certified results. Late legal disputes or recount petitions could theoretically alter the recorded margin, but none have been reported as of early June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日パクストン9％以上 99.8%
パクストン 6〜9％ <1%
パクストン 3〜6% <1%
パクストン <3% <1%
$259,766 Vol.
$259,766 Vol.
2026/05/25
パクストン9％以上
100%
パクストン 6〜9％
<1%
パクストン 3〜6%
<1%
パクストン <3%
<1%
コーニン <3％
<1%
コーニン 3–6％
<1%
コーニン 6〜9％
<1%
コーニン 9％以上
<1%
パクストン9％以上 99.8%
パクストン 6〜9％ <1%
パクストン 3〜6% <1%
パクストン <3% <1%
$259,766 Vol.
$259,766 Vol.
2026/05/25
パクストン9％以上
$143,349 Vol.
100%
パクストン 6〜9％
$19,838 Vol.
<1%
パクストン 3〜6%
$15,935 Vol.
<1%
パクストン <3%
$22,365 Vol.
<1%
コーニン <3％
$17,220 Vol.
<1%
コーニン 3–6％
$12,486 Vol.
<1%
コーニン 6〜9％
$9,586 Vol.
<1%
コーニン 9％以上
$18,988 Vol.
<1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas U.S. Senate by defeating four-term incumbent John Cornyn by roughly 27 points in the May 26 runoff primary, a result that aligns with trader pricing on a wide margin. The outcome followed President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Paxton one week prior, which consolidated support among primary voters focused on issues such as border security. Paxton maintained vote totals comparable to the March primary while Cornyn’s support dropped sharply, reflecting lower turnout among the incumbent’s backers. Certification of final tallies remains the remaining procedural step before market resolution, though historical patterns in Texas primaries show few successful challenges to certified results. Late legal disputes or recount petitions could theoretically alter the recorded margin, but none have been reported as of early June.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
マーケット開始日： Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
音量
$259,766終了日
2026/05/25マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas U.S. Senate by defeating four-term incumbent John Cornyn by roughly 27 points in the May 26 runoff primary, a result that aligns with trader pricing on a wide margin. The outcome followed President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Paxton one week prior, which consolidated support among primary voters focused on issues such as border security. Paxton maintained vote totals comparable to the March primary while Cornyn’s support dropped sharply, reflecting lower turnout among the incumbent’s backers. Certification of final tallies remains the remaining procedural step before market resolution, though historical patterns in Texas primaries show few successful challenges to certified results. Late legal disputes or recount petitions could theoretically alter the recorded margin, but none have been reported as of early June.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$259,766終了日
2026/05/25マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ken Paxton secured the Republican nomination for Texas U.S. Senate by defeating four-term incumbent John Cornyn by roughly 27 points in the May 26 runoff primary, a result that aligns with trader pricing on a wide margin. The outcome followed President Donald Trump’s endorsement of Paxton one week prior, which consolidated support among primary voters focused on issues such as border security. Paxton maintained vote totals comparable to the March primary while Cornyn’s support dropped sharply, reflecting lower turnout among the incumbent’s backers. Certification of final tallies remains the remaining procedural step before market resolution, though historical patterns in Texas primaries show few successful challenges to certified results. Late legal disputes or recount petitions could theoretically alter the recorded margin, but none have been reported as of early June.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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