Incumbent Karen Bass secured the top spot in the June 2 primary with roughly 35 percent of counted votes, ensuring her advance regardless of the second-place finisher. The contest for the runoff slot remains between City Councilmember Nithya Raman and reality television personality Spencer Pratt, with hundreds of thousands of ballots still uncounted. Raman has narrowed Pratt’s lead in recent tallies, consistent with patterns in prior Los Angeles elections where later-processed mail and provisional ballots shift outcomes. Traders assign an 79.5 percent implied probability to a Bass-Raman November matchup, reflecting the current trajectory of the count and historical ballot dynamics rather than final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
Bass & Raman 80%
Bass & Pratt 21%
Raman & Pratt <1%
Other <1%
$855,680 Vol.
$855,680 Vol.
Bass & Raman
80%
Bass & Pratt
21%
Raman & Pratt
<1%
Other
<1%
1st Round Outright Winner
<1%
Bass & Raman 80%
Bass & Pratt 21%
Raman & Pratt <1%
Other <1%
$855,680 Vol.
$855,680 Vol.
Bass & Raman
80%
Bass & Pratt
21%
Raman & Pratt
<1%
Other
<1%
1st Round Outright Winner
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Karen Bass secured the top spot in the June 2 primary with roughly 35 percent of counted votes, ensuring her advance regardless of the second-place finisher. The contest for the runoff slot remains between City Councilmember Nithya Raman and reality television personality Spencer Pratt, with hundreds of thousands of ballots still uncounted. Raman has narrowed Pratt’s lead in recent tallies, consistent with patterns in prior Los Angeles elections where later-processed mail and provisional ballots shift outcomes. Traders assign an 79.5 percent implied probability to a Bass-Raman November matchup, reflecting the current trajectory of the count and historical ballot dynamics rather than final certification.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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