**Trader consensus heavily favors 50-60% turnout in Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, reflecting the official reported figure of 57.23%.** With 8.78 million registered voters, approximately 5.03 million ballots were cast, producing this result after minor delays from localized violence and ballot issues that briefly halted counting before it resumed. This marks a notable decline from the prior cycle’s roughly 70% participation, amid economic pressures and a competitive race where incumbent Hakainde Hichilema secured a first-round majority. The market’s strong pricing on the 50-60% band aligns with verified Electoral Commission of Zambia data and the absence of credible challenges to the aggregate turnout statistic. Lower-probability brackets remain sidelined absent any material revision to the final count.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourÉlection présidentielle zambienne 1er tour : participation
Élection présidentielle zambienne 1er tour : participation
50-60 % 92.6%
60-70 % 4.2%
<50 % <1%
70-80 % <1%
$42,590 Vol.
$42,590 Vol.
<50 %
<1%
50-60 %
87%
60-70 %
4%
70-80 %
<1%
80 %+
<1%
50-60 % 92.6%
60-70 % 4.2%
<50 % <1%
70-80 % <1%
$42,590 Vol.
$42,590 Vol.
<50 %
<1%
50-60 %
87%
60-70 %
4%
70-80 %
<1%
80 %+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors 50-60% turnout in Zambia’s August 13, 2026 presidential election, reflecting the official reported figure of 57.23%.** With 8.78 million registered voters, approximately 5.03 million ballots were cast, producing this result after minor delays from localized violence and ballot issues that briefly halted counting before it resumed. This marks a notable decline from the prior cycle’s roughly 70% participation, amid economic pressures and a competitive race where incumbent Hakainde Hichilema secured a first-round majority. The market’s strong pricing on the 50-60% band aligns with verified Electoral Commission of Zambia data and the absence of credible challenges to the aggregate turnout statistic. Lower-probability brackets remain sidelined absent any material revision to the final count.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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