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icon for Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation
Élections·Participation

Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation

icon for Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation
Élections·Participation

Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation

<225K 45%

225K-250K 45%

250K-275K 45%

275K-300K 45%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<225K 45%

225K-250K 45%

250K-275K 45%

275K-300K 45%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<225K

$0 Vol.

45%

225K-250K

$0 Vol.

45%

250K-275K

$0 Vol.

45%

275K-300K

$0 Vol.

45%

300K-325K

$0 Vol.

45%

325K-350K

$0 Vol.

45%

350 000+

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial election on November 3 features incumbent Republican Phil Scott facing Democrat Amanda Janoo following her narrow primary victory, with recent polls showing Scott ahead by single digits. This moderate contest, combined with Vermont's automatic ballot mailing to registered voters, creates uncertainty over total ballots cast, as historical off-year turnout has ranged from roughly 278,000 in 2018 to over 370,000 in presidential cycles like 2024. Low early voting in the August primary and typical summer scheduling factors suggest potential for subdued participation unless stronger party mobilization or late campaign developments increase engagement among key voting blocs. Traders' even pricing across turnout ranges reflects this balance of structural elements and variable enthusiasm heading into the general election.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Vermont's 2026 gubernatorial election on November 3 features incumbent Republican Phil Scott facing Democrat Amanda Janoo following her narrow primary victory, with recent polls showing Scott ahead by single digits. This moderate contest, combined with Vermont's automatic ballot mailing to registered voters, creates uncertainty over total ballots cast, as historical off-year turnout has ranged from roughly 278,000 in 2018 to over 370,000 in presidential cycles like 2024. Low early voting in the August primary and typical summer scheduling factors suggest potential for subdued participation unless stronger party mobilization or late campaign developments increase engagement among key voting blocs. Traders' even pricing across turnout ranges reflects this balance of structural elements and variable enthusiasm heading into the general election.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur du Connecticut sera-t-il inférieur à 1 000 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur du Connecticut sera-t-il inférieur à 1 000 000 ?

45%
Oui
icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de New York sera-t-il inférieur à 4 500 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de New York sera-t-il inférieur à 4 500 000 ?

45%
Oui
icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur du Nevada sera-t-il inférieur à 900 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur du Nevada sera-t-il inférieur à 900 000 ?

45%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « <225K » à 45%, suivi de « 225K-250K » à 45%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 18, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation » est « <225K » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 225K-250K » à 45%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection du gouverneur du Vermont : participation » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.