The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District remains tight ahead of the August 18 vote, with recent Victory Insights polling showing Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near the top and Dan Green close behind amid more than 40 percent undecided voters. Redistricting earlier this year converted the seat into a stronger Republican opportunity against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, drawing seven candidates who largely align on core conservative priorities but differentiate on affordability, agriculture and water policy, veterans’ issues, national security, and cost-of-living concerns. Candidate forums and questionnaires have highlighted these distinctions without producing clear separation. Trader consensus reflects the high undecided share and short timeline, where last-minute endorsements, turnout among specific voting blocs, or late campaign events could still shift support among the leading contenders before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourThomas Chalifoux 29%
Ben Butler 27.6%
Jorge Martinez 23.2%
Dan Green 22%
$107,494 Vol.
$107,494 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux
29%

Ben Butler
28%

Jorge Martinez
23%

Dan Green
22%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%
Thomas Chalifoux 29%
Ben Butler 27.6%
Jorge Martinez 23.2%
Dan Green 22%
$107,494 Vol.
$107,494 Vol.

Thomas Chalifoux
29%

Ben Butler
28%

Jorge Martinez
23%

Dan Green
22%

Marcus Carter
<1%

Justin Story
<1%

Howard Steven Rance
<1%

Jorge Malavet
<1%

Steve Rance
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The crowded Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District remains tight ahead of the August 18 vote, with recent Victory Insights polling showing Jorge Martinez, Thomas Chalifoux, and Ben Butler statistically tied near the top and Dan Green close behind amid more than 40 percent undecided voters. Redistricting earlier this year converted the seat into a stronger Republican opportunity against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto, drawing seven candidates who largely align on core conservative priorities but differentiate on affordability, agriculture and water policy, veterans’ issues, national security, and cost-of-living concerns. Candidate forums and questionnaires have highlighted these distinctions without producing clear separation. Trader consensus reflects the high undecided share and short timeline, where last-minute endorsements, turnout among specific voting blocs, or late campaign events could still shift support among the leading contenders before ballots are cast.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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