In Georgia's 9th Congressional District, state law requires a majority of the vote in the November 3 general election for an outright winner; otherwise the top two advance to a runoff. The race features incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde against Democrat Caitlyn Gegen following May 19 primaries where both secured majorities (Clyde at approximately 76 percent and Gegen at 60 percent). The district's consistent Republican performance, rated Solid R by nonpartisan analysts, combined with Clyde's incumbency and the limited competitiveness of the Democratic nominee, supports trader expectations of a decisive Republican victory exceeding 50 percent. With no significant recent polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments altering the underlying partisan baseline since the primaries, the 71.5 percent implied probability for an outright winner reflects consensus on the low likelihood of vote fragmentation sufficient to trigger a runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
73% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Oui
73% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.In Georgia's 9th Congressional District, state law requires a majority of the vote in the November 3 general election for an outright winner; otherwise the top two advance to a runoff. The race features incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde against Democrat Caitlyn Gegen following May 19 primaries where both secured majorities (Clyde at approximately 76 percent and Gegen at 60 percent). The district's consistent Republican performance, rated Solid R by nonpartisan analysts, combined with Clyde's incumbency and the limited competitiveness of the Democratic nominee, supports trader expectations of a decisive Republican victory exceeding 50 percent. With no significant recent polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments altering the underlying partisan baseline since the primaries, the 71.5 percent implied probability for an outright winner reflects consensus on the low likelihood of vote fragmentation sufficient to trigger a runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$157Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.In Georgia's 9th Congressional District, state law requires a majority of the vote in the November 3 general election for an outright winner; otherwise the top two advance to a runoff. The race features incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde against Democrat Caitlyn Gegen following May 19 primaries where both secured majorities (Clyde at approximately 76 percent and Gegen at 60 percent). The district's consistent Republican performance, rated Solid R by nonpartisan analysts, combined with Clyde's incumbency and the limited competitiveness of the Democratic nominee, supports trader expectations of a decisive Republican victory exceeding 50 percent. With no significant recent polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments altering the underlying partisan baseline since the primaries, the 71.5 percent implied probability for an outright winner reflects consensus on the low likelihood of vote fragmentation sufficient to trigger a runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Volume
$157Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...In Georgia's 9th Congressional District, state law requires a majority of the vote in the November 3 general election for an outright winner; otherwise the top two advance to a runoff. The race features incumbent Republican Andrew Clyde against Democrat Caitlyn Gegen following May 19 primaries where both secured majorities (Clyde at approximately 76 percent and Gegen at 60 percent). The district's consistent Republican performance, rated Solid R by nonpartisan analysts, combined with Clyde's incumbency and the limited competitiveness of the Democratic nominee, supports trader expectations of a decisive Republican victory exceeding 50 percent. With no significant recent polling shifts, candidate controversies, or national developments altering the underlying partisan baseline since the primaries, the 71.5 percent implied probability for an outright winner reflects consensus on the low likelihood of vote fragmentation sufficient to trigger a runoff.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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