Clay Fuller, the Republican incumbent who won the April 2026 special runoff to succeed Marjorie Taylor Greene, faces Democrat Shawn Harris in the November 3 general election for Georgia’s 14th district. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the consolidation to two major-party nominees after the multi-candidate special election increase the odds of one candidate securing a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rule applies if no candidate exceeds 50 percent, yet historical patterns in this safely Republican seat and limited polling volatility support trader consensus around a 61.5 percent implied probability of an outright winner. A December 1 runoff remains possible only if unexpected turnout shifts or late developments fragment support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
81% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Oui
81% chance
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.Clay Fuller, the Republican incumbent who won the April 2026 special runoff to succeed Marjorie Taylor Greene, faces Democrat Shawn Harris in the November 3 general election for Georgia’s 14th district. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the consolidation to two major-party nominees after the multi-candidate special election increase the odds of one candidate securing a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rule applies if no candidate exceeds 50 percent, yet historical patterns in this safely Republican seat and limited polling volatility support trader consensus around a 61.5 percent implied probability of an outright winner. A December 1 runoff remains possible only if unexpected turnout shifts or late developments fragment support.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
Marché ouvert : Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Volume
$429Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.Clay Fuller, the Republican incumbent who won the April 2026 special runoff to succeed Marjorie Taylor Greene, faces Democrat Shawn Harris in the November 3 general election for Georgia’s 14th district. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the consolidation to two major-party nominees after the multi-candidate special election increase the odds of one candidate securing a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rule applies if no candidate exceeds 50 percent, yet historical patterns in this safely Republican seat and limited polling volatility support trader consensus around a 61.5 percent implied probability of an outright winner. A December 1 runoff remains possible only if unexpected turnout shifts or late developments fragment support.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
Volume
$429Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Clay Fuller, the Republican incumbent who won the April 2026 special runoff to succeed Marjorie Taylor Greene, faces Democrat Shawn Harris in the November 3 general election for Georgia’s 14th district. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the consolidation to two major-party nominees after the multi-candidate special election increase the odds of one candidate securing a majority on the first ballot. Georgia’s runoff rule applies if no candidate exceeds 50 percent, yet historical patterns in this safely Republican seat and limited polling volatility support trader consensus around a 61.5 percent implied probability of an outright winner. A December 1 runoff remains possible only if unexpected turnout shifts or late developments fragment support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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