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Politics·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Michigan Primary

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 83%

William Lawrence 13%

Matt Maasdam 5.8%

Muhammad Salman Rais 3.3%

Polymarket

$16,435 Vol.

Bridget Brink 83%

William Lawrence 13%

Matt Maasdam 5.8%

Muhammad Salman Rais 3.3%

Polymarket

$16,435 Vol.

Bridget Brink

$5,075 Vol.

83%

William Lawrence

$7,333 Vol.

13%

Matt Maasdam

$896 Vol.

6%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$685 Vol.

3%

Elyon Badger

$704 Vol.

2%

Josh Cowen

$913 Vol.

2%

Alexandra Prieditis

$828 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink leads trader consensus in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District Democratic primary due to institutional endorsements from EMILY’s List, the Michigan Education Association, and former state House Speaker Joe Tate, combined with her background as former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine. An earlier withdrawal by education policy professor Josh Cowen, who endorsed Brink, further consolidated support ahead of the August 4 primary. William Lawrence trails as the leading alternative, backed by progressive figures including Sen. Bernie Sanders and Reps. Rashida Tlaib and Ro Khanna, drawing on his record as a local organizer. Matt Maasdam and lesser-known candidates maintain smaller shares amid limited visibility. Recent polls have shown mixed results between the top two contenders in this open-seat contest for the competitive mid-Michigan district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,435
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bridget Brink leads trader consensus in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District Democratic primary due to institutional endorsements from EMILY’s List, the Michigan Education Association, and former state House Speaker Joe Tate, combined with her background as former U.S. ambassador to Ukraine. An earlier withdrawal by education policy professor Josh Cowen, who endorsed Brink, further consolidated support ahead of the August 4 primary. William Lawrence trails as the leading alternative, backed by progressive figures including Sen. Bernie Sanders and Reps. Rashida Tlaib and Ro Khanna, drawing on his record as a local organizer. Matt Maasdam and lesser-known candidates maintain smaller shares amid limited visibility. Recent polls have shown mixed results between the top two contenders in this open-seat contest for the competitive mid-Michigan district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$16,435
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bridget Brink" at 83%, followed by "William Lawrence" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" is "Bridget Brink" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "William Lawrence" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.