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Nominate predictions & odds

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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

81%

$32.1K Vol.

$13.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 months

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

92%

Project Hail Mary

$1.2K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

75%

Tom Cruise

$482 Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

80%

December 31

$10.1K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

38%

Keith Sonderling

$45.3K Vol.

$12.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

25%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$3M today

$60M Liq.

750

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

30%

J.D. Vance

$651M Vol.

$485K today

$43M Liq.

415

Ends in over 2 years

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

32%

$1.3K Vol.

$21.1K Liq.

2

Ends in over 2 years

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

40%

Kyle Diamantas

$11.5K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

>5%

+ 2 more

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

Who will Trump announce as next Director of National Intelligence?

23%

No announcement by December 31

$73.1K Vol.

$78.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

25%

$1.9K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

Which film will get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?

47%

The Odyssey

$19.9K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

64%

July 31

$29M Vol.

$69.9K today

$294K Liq.

570

Ends in 24 days

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

Alaska At-Large Primary Winners

93%

Matt Schultz

$8.4K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

16%

$8.5K Vol.

$902 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

8%

July 31

$948K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Who will Bernie endorse?

Who will Bernie endorse?

85%

James Talarico - TX-Sen

$166K Vol.

$24.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 5 months

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

79%

0

$4.8K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by May 31?

43%

Ronny Jackson

$40.8K Vol.

$230 Liq.

2

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Nominate.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Nominate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.9B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 25% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Nominate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.