The Workers' Party national convention on August 2 formally nominated incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its candidate for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election, confirming the ticket with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin well before the August 15 registration deadline for parties. This outcome followed Lula's public intention to pursue a fourth term and reflected unified internal party processes at the São Paulo gathering. Trader consensus reached 100% on a yes resolution due to the completed nomination and filing, consistent with standard Brazilian electoral timelines for candidate registration. Scenarios that could still have shifted the result, such as sudden health developments or last-minute coalition changes, did not occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>99% chance
$199,726 Vol.
$199,726 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
>99% chance
$199,726 Vol.
$199,726 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Workers' Party national convention on August 2 formally nominated incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its candidate for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election, confirming the ticket with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin well before the August 15 registration deadline for parties. This outcome followed Lula's public intention to pursue a fourth term and reflected unified internal party processes at the São Paulo gathering. Trader consensus reached 100% on a yes resolution due to the completed nomination and filing, consistent with standard Brazilian electoral timelines for candidate registration. Scenarios that could still have shifted the result, such as sudden health developments or last-minute coalition changes, did not occur.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$199,726End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Workers' Party national convention on August 2 formally nominated incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its candidate for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election, confirming the ticket with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin well before the August 15 registration deadline for parties. This outcome followed Lula's public intention to pursue a fourth term and reflected unified internal party processes at the São Paulo gathering. Trader consensus reached 100% on a yes resolution due to the completed nomination and filing, consistent with standard Brazilian electoral timelines for candidate registration. Scenarios that could still have shifted the result, such as sudden health developments or last-minute coalition changes, did not occur.
The 2026 Brazil presidential election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. Political parties must file candidate registration applications with the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) for the 2026 Brazil presidential election by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Workers’ Party (Partido dos Trabalhadores, PT) files a candidate registration application nominating Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva for President of Brazil by August 15, 2026, 7:00 PM Brasília time (UTC−03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A filing by a coalition (coligação) or party federation (federação partidária) that includes the PT and names Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its presidential candidate will also qualify.
This market will resolve based on the filing date (Data de Autuação) of an applicable Application for Registration of Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura, RRC). An Application for Registration of Individual Candidacy (Requerimento de Registro de Candidatura Individual, RRCI) will not qualify for resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$199,726End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The Workers' Party national convention on August 2 formally nominated incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva as its candidate for Brazil's October 2026 presidential election, confirming the ticket with Vice President Geraldo Alckmin well before the August 15 registration deadline for parties. This outcome followed Lula's public intention to pursue a fourth term and reflected unified internal party processes at the São Paulo gathering. Trader consensus reached 100% on a yes resolution due to the completed nomination and filing, consistent with standard Brazilian electoral timelines for candidate registration. Scenarios that could still have shifted the result, such as sudden health developments or last-minute coalition changes, did not occur.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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