Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leads recent polling for the two Goiás Senate seats on October 4, 2026, at 41 percent, positioning her as the clear favorite for first and leaving second place contested among a crowded field. Gustavo Gayer (PL) holds second in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey at 27 percent, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) at 21 percent and others including Zacharias Calil and Gustavo Mendanha. Trader consensus reflects this dynamic, with Gayer priced highest for second place due to strong name recognition, party structure, and early campaign momentum following candidate formalization in August. Name recognition, coalition strength, and gender-based voter splits keep several contenders viable for the remaining seat, though further surveys or debates could shift positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGustavo Gayer 57%
Gracinha Caiado 20%
Gustavo Mendanha 11%
Iure Castro 5.0%
$19,981 Vol.
$19,981 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
57%
Gracinha Caiado
20%
Gustavo Mendanha
11%
Iure Castro
5%
Vanderlan Cardoso
5%
Cintia Dias
3%
Ernesto Roller
3%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
2%
Guilherme Darques
1%
Oséias Varão
<1%
Isaura Lemos
<1%
Gustavo Gayer 57%
Gracinha Caiado 20%
Gustavo Mendanha 11%
Iure Castro 5.0%
$19,981 Vol.
$19,981 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Gustavo Gayer
$17,620 Vol.
57%
Gracinha Caiado
$1,183 Vol.
20%
Gustavo Mendanha
$228 Vol.
11%
Iure Castro
$158 Vol.
5%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$176 Vol.
5%
Cintia Dias
$219 Vol.
3%
Ernesto Roller
$158 Vol.
3%
Dr. Zacharias Calil
$158 Vol.
2%
Guilherme Darques
$141 Vol.
1%
Oséias Varão
$155 Vol.
<1%
Isaura Lemos
$146 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leads recent polling for the two Goiás Senate seats on October 4, 2026, at 41 percent, positioning her as the clear favorite for first and leaving second place contested among a crowded field. Gustavo Gayer (PL) holds second in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey at 27 percent, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) at 21 percent and others including Zacharias Calil and Gustavo Mendanha. Trader consensus reflects this dynamic, with Gayer priced highest for second place due to strong name recognition, party structure, and early campaign momentum following candidate formalization in August. Name recognition, coalition strength, and gender-based voter splits keep several contenders viable for the remaining seat, though further surveys or debates could shift positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Volume
$19,981End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leads recent polling for the two Goiás Senate seats on October 4, 2026, at 41 percent, positioning her as the clear favorite for first and leaving second place contested among a crowded field. Gustavo Gayer (PL) holds second in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey at 27 percent, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) at 21 percent and others including Zacharias Calil and Gustavo Mendanha. Trader consensus reflects this dynamic, with Gayer priced highest for second place due to strong name recognition, party structure, and early campaign momentum following candidate formalization in August. Name recognition, coalition strength, and gender-based voter splits keep several contenders viable for the remaining seat, though further surveys or debates could shift positioning before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Goiás is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$19,981End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leads recent polling for the two Goiás Senate seats on October 4, 2026, at 41 percent, positioning her as the clear favorite for first and leaving second place contested among a crowded field. Gustavo Gayer (PL) holds second in the latest Paraná Pesquisas survey at 27 percent, ahead of incumbent Vanderlan Cardoso (PSD) at 21 percent and others including Zacharias Calil and Gustavo Mendanha. Trader consensus reflects this dynamic, with Gayer priced highest for second place due to strong name recognition, party structure, and early campaign momentum following candidate formalization in August. Name recognition, coalition strength, and gender-based voter splits keep several contenders viable for the remaining seat, though further surveys or debates could shift positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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