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Politics·Brazil

Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner

icon for Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner
Politics·Brazil

Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner

Wellington Fagundes 68%

Otaviano Pivetta 32%

Sargento Laudicério <1%

Doutora Natasha <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Wellington Fagundes 68%

Otaviano Pivetta 32%

Sargento Laudicério <1%

Doutora Natasha <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Wellington Fagundes

Wellington Fagundes

$6,359 Vol.

68%

icon for Otaviano Pivetta

Otaviano Pivetta

$781 Vol.

32%

icon for Sargento Laudicério

Sargento Laudicério

$298 Vol.

1%

icon for Doutora Natasha

Doutora Natasha

$380 Vol.

1%

icon for Mauricio Coelho

Mauricio Coelho

$287 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafaell Milas

Rafaell Milas

$498 Vol.

<1%

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August polls position Senator Wellington Fagundes (PL) as the clear frontrunner for Mato Grosso governor with 32–34% support in first-round scenarios, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 21–27% and other candidates in single digits. Fagundes benefits from a broad coalition including PL, MDB, and Novo allies, while Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 following Mauro Mendes’s resignation. Official campaigning began August 16, with both emphasizing infrastructure, agribusiness interests, and public services in the October 4 election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these surveys, though roughly one-quarter of voters remain undecided and second-round dynamics could still shift based on turnout and coalition consolidation.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,604
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent August polls position Senator Wellington Fagundes (PL) as the clear frontrunner for Mato Grosso governor with 32–34% support in first-round scenarios, ahead of incumbent Otaviano Pivetta (Republicanos) at 21–27% and other candidates in single digits. Fagundes benefits from a broad coalition including PL, MDB, and Novo allies, while Pivetta assumed the governorship in March 2026 following Mauro Mendes’s resignation. Official campaigning began August 16, with both emphasizing infrastructure, agribusiness interests, and public services in the October 4 election. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these surveys, though roughly one-quarter of voters remain undecided and second-round dynamics could still shift based on turnout and coalition consolidation.

The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$8,604
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wellington Fagundes" at 68%, followed by "Otaviano Pivetta" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 68¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner" is "Wellington Fagundes" at 68%, meaning the market assigns a 68% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Otaviano Pivetta" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Mato Grosso Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.