Skip to main content
icon for Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

icon for Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Eduardo Braga 58%

Plinio Valério 22%

Wilson Lima 21%

Capitão Alberto Neto 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Eduardo Braga 58%

Plinio Valério 22%

Wilson Lima 21%

Capitão Alberto Neto 19%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$180 Vol.

58%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$20 Vol.

22%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$50 Vol.

19%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$55 Vol.

7%

icon for Professora Evany

Professora Evany

$54 Vol.

7%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$59 Vol.

7%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$83 Vol.

4%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator, holds the strongest position in the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to his established name recognition, prior governorship, and consistent leads in mid-2026 polls, including a July survey placing him ahead of challengers like Capitão Alberto Neto and Governor Wilson Lima. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with a field that includes Plínio Valério, Xuxa do Amazonas, and several lower-polling contenders, creating a fragmented opposition that has kept the contest competitive but favored the frontrunner. Trader pricing aligns with this polling edge and Braga’s coalition support, while uncertainty around turnout and late alliances could still narrow gaps before the October 4 election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$540
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB), the incumbent senator, holds the strongest position in the Amazonas Senate race for first place due to his established name recognition, prior governorship, and consistent leads in mid-2026 polls, including a July survey placing him ahead of challengers like Capitão Alberto Neto and Governor Wilson Lima. Candidate registrations closed in mid-August with a field that includes Plínio Valério, Xuxa do Amazonas, and several lower-polling contenders, creating a fragmented opposition that has kept the contest competitive but favored the frontrunner. Trader pricing aligns with this polling edge and Braga’s coalition support, while uncertainty around turnout and late alliances could still narrow gaps before the October 4 election.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$540
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eduardo Braga" at 58%, followed by "Plinio Valério" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 58¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place" is "Eduardo Braga" at 58%, meaning the market assigns a 58% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Plinio Valério" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.