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icon for Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place

Capitão Alberto Neto 56%

Plinio Valério 17%

Eduardo Braga 14%

Xuxa do Amazonas 7%

Polymarket
NEW

Capitão Alberto Neto 56%

Plinio Valério 17%

Eduardo Braga 14%

Xuxa do Amazonas 7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Capitão Alberto Neto

Capitão Alberto Neto

$603 Vol.

56%

icon for Plinio Valério

Plinio Valério

$84 Vol.

17%

icon for Eduardo Braga

Eduardo Braga

$121 Vol.

14%

icon for Xuxa do Amazonas

Xuxa do Amazonas

$80 Vol.

7%

icon for Professora Evany

Professora Evany

$75 Vol.

7%

icon for Wilson Lima

Wilson Lima

$80 Vol.

7%

icon for Ismael Munduruku

Ismael Munduruku

$72 Vol.

6%

icon for Evandro de Oliveira

Evandro de Oliveira

$99 Vol.

6%

icon for Dailson Corrêa

Dailson Corrêa

$80 Vol.

2%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Eduardo Braga (MDB) holding the lead for one of Amazonas’s two Senate seats, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and several lower-polling names. Neto’s position in trader consensus reflects his consistent second-place showings in available surveys, bolstered by PL party organization ahead of the October election. The broad field of confirmed candidates, including incumbents seeking re-election and high-profile entrants, has kept probabilities for second place closely contested without clear consolidation. Late-campaign developments such as additional polling releases, convention outcomes, or shifts in voter preference between now and election day could alter positioning for the remaining spot.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,294
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from July and early August 2026 show Eduardo Braga (MDB) holding the lead for one of Amazonas’s two Senate seats, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Capitão Alberto Neto (PL), Plínio Valério (PSDB), Wilson Lima (União Brasil), and several lower-polling names. Neto’s position in trader consensus reflects his consistent second-place showings in available surveys, bolstered by PL party organization ahead of the October election. The broad field of confirmed candidates, including incumbents seeking re-election and high-profile entrants, has kept probabilities for second place closely contested without clear consolidation. Late-campaign developments such as additional polling releases, convention outcomes, or shifts in voter preference between now and election day could alter positioning for the remaining spot.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$1,294
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Capitão Alberto Neto" at 56%, followed by "Plinio Valério" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 17, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Capitão Alberto Neto" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Plinio Valério" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Amazonas Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.