Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow edge in late polling ahead of Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez, but the race remains highly competitive with significant undecided and anti-incumbent sentiment driving expectations of a tight result. First-round disruptions, including polling delays and disputed tallies that delayed official results for weeks, heightened institutional concerns and reinforced perceptions of voter fragmentation across a field of 35 candidates. Traders price the 0–4% victory margins for either candidate highest because recent surveys show Fujimori’s lead fluctuating within that range amid polarized turnout patterns, while broader rejection of both candidates raises abstention risks that could compress the final spread. No decisive late-campaign shifts have altered this equilibrium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?
Fujimori 0–4% 45%
Sánchez 0–4% 34%
Fujimori 4–8% 12%
Sánchez 4–8% 6.8%
$272,824 Vol.
$272,824 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Fujimori 12%+
2%
Fujimori 8–12%
3%
Fujimori 4–8%
12%
Fujimori 0–4%
45%
Sánchez 0–4%
34%
Sánchez 4–8%
7%
Sánchez 8–12%
1%
Sánchez 12%+
<1%
Fujimori 0–4% 45%
Sánchez 0–4% 34%
Fujimori 4–8% 12%
Sánchez 4–8% 6.8%
$272,824 Vol.
$272,824 Vol.
Jun 7, 2026
Fujimori 12%+
$19,489 Vol.
2%
Fujimori 8–12%
$22,885 Vol.
3%
Fujimori 4–8%
$24,218 Vol.
12%
Fujimori 0–4%
$94,179 Vol.
45%
Sánchez 0–4%
$59,509 Vol.
34%
Sánchez 4–8%
$22,036 Vol.
7%
Sánchez 8–12%
$18,406 Vol.
1%
Sánchez 12%+
$12,707 Vol.
<1%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow edge in late polling ahead of Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez, but the race remains highly competitive with significant undecided and anti-incumbent sentiment driving expectations of a tight result. First-round disruptions, including polling delays and disputed tallies that delayed official results for weeks, heightened institutional concerns and reinforced perceptions of voter fragmentation across a field of 35 candidates. Traders price the 0–4% victory margins for either candidate highest because recent surveys show Fujimori’s lead fluctuating within that range amid polarized turnout patterns, while broader rejection of both candidates raises abstention risks that could compress the final spread. No decisive late-campaign shifts have altered this equilibrium.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Volume
$272,824End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow edge in late polling ahead of Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez, but the race remains highly competitive with significant undecided and anti-incumbent sentiment driving expectations of a tight result. First-round disruptions, including polling delays and disputed tallies that delayed official results for weeks, heightened institutional concerns and reinforced perceptions of voter fragmentation across a field of 35 candidates. Traders price the 0–4% victory margins for either candidate highest because recent surveys show Fujimori’s lead fluctuating within that range amid polarized turnout patterns, while broader rejection of both candidates raises abstention risks that could compress the final spread. No decisive late-campaign shifts have altered this equilibrium.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$272,824End Date
Jun 7, 2026Market Opened
May 21, 2026, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Keiko Fujimori holds a narrow edge in late polling ahead of Peru’s June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez, but the race remains highly competitive with significant undecided and anti-incumbent sentiment driving expectations of a tight result. First-round disruptions, including polling delays and disputed tallies that delayed official results for weeks, heightened institutional concerns and reinforced perceptions of voter fragmentation across a field of 35 candidates. Traders price the 0–4% victory margins for either candidate highest because recent surveys show Fujimori’s lead fluctuating within that range amid polarized turnout patterns, while broader rejection of both candidates raises abstention risks that could compress the final spread. No decisive late-campaign shifts have altered this equilibrium.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions