**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on persistently warm overnight conditions driven by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling.** Official and model forecasts from sources like LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, and Yr.no converge on a minimum of 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with highs near 29–32°C amid 60–90% rain probabilities. Elevated dew points near 25–27°C and northeast winds of 3–7 mph sustain moist air masses, suppressing the clear-sky cooling that typically drops summer lows lower. Persistent thunderstorm activity and cloud cover from regional low-pressure influences further trap heat overnight. This positions the 25°C-or-higher outcome as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability, while bins from 21–24°C cluster around 26–27.5% due to minor forecast spread. The 15°C-or-below bucket at 30% likely reflects tail-risk hedging against any sharper model revisions, though current data show little support for such cooling. Upcoming evening updates from agencies tracking the subtropical ridge and any new convective cells will be the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 24?
21°C 52%
22°C 52%
23°C 52%
15°C or below 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
50%
16°C
37%
17°C
36%
18°C
37%
19°C
1%
20°C
37%
21°C
52%
22°C
52%
23°C
52%
24°C
28%
25°C or higher
50%
21°C 52%
22°C 52%
23°C 52%
15°C or below 50%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$10 Wol.
50%
16°C
$10 Wol.
37%
17°C
$140 Wol.
36%
18°C
$10 Wol.
37%
19°C
$43 Wol.
1%
20°C
$10 Wol.
37%
21°C
$10 Wol.
52%
22°C
$10 Wol.
52%
23°C
$10 Wol.
52%
24°C
$0 Wol.
28%
25°C or higher
$0 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on persistently warm overnight conditions driven by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling.**
Official and model forecasts from sources like LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, and Yr.no converge on a minimum of 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with highs near 29–32°C amid 60–90% rain probabilities. Elevated dew points near 25–27°C and northeast winds of 3–7 mph sustain moist air masses, suppressing the clear-sky cooling that typically drops summer lows lower. Persistent thunderstorm activity and cloud cover from regional low-pressure influences further trap heat overnight.
This positions the 25°C-or-higher outcome as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability, while bins from 21–24°C cluster around 26–27.5% due to minor forecast spread. The 15°C-or-below bucket at 30% likely reflects tail-risk hedging against any sharper model revisions, though current data show little support for such cooling. Upcoming evening updates from agencies tracking the subtropical ridge and any new convective cells will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$253Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on persistently warm overnight conditions driven by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling.**
Official and model forecasts from sources like LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, and Yr.no converge on a minimum of 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with highs near 29–32°C amid 60–90% rain probabilities. Elevated dew points near 25–27°C and northeast winds of 3–7 mph sustain moist air masses, suppressing the clear-sky cooling that typically drops summer lows lower. Persistent thunderstorm activity and cloud cover from regional low-pressure influences further trap heat overnight.
This positions the 25°C-or-higher outcome as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability, while bins from 21–24°C cluster around 26–27.5% due to minor forecast spread. The 15°C-or-below bucket at 30% likely reflects tail-risk hedging against any sharper model revisions, though current data show little support for such cooling. Upcoming evening updates from agencies tracking the subtropical ridge and any new convective cells will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$253Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou's lowest temperature on August 24, 2026, centers on persistently warm overnight conditions driven by high humidity, cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling.** Official and model forecasts from sources like LUFT TIME, WeatherBug, and Yr.no converge on a minimum of 25–27°C (roughly 77–81°F), with highs near 29–32°C amid 60–90% rain probabilities. Elevated dew points near 25–27°C and northeast winds of 3–7 mph sustain moist air masses, suppressing the clear-sky cooling that typically drops summer lows lower. Persistent thunderstorm activity and cloud cover from regional low-pressure influences further trap heat overnight. This positions the 25°C-or-higher outcome as the clear leader at 49.5% implied probability, while bins from 21–24°C cluster around 26–27.5% due to minor forecast spread. The 15°C-or-below bucket at 30% likely reflects tail-risk hedging against any sharper model revisions, though current data show little support for such cooling. Upcoming evening updates from agencies tracking the subtropical ridge and any new convective cells will be the key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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