Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models point to clear skies and northwest winds over Toronto on August 25, 2026, promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C and supporting overnight lows around 14–16°C. This setup, following a cooler air mass, positions 11°C or below as the leading market outcome at 46.5% implied probability amid model consensus on minimal cloud cover and light winds that enhance temperature drops. Historical August 25 averages near 17°C provide context, while forecast uncertainty—typical in short-range guidance—explains clustered probabilities around 12–16°C thresholds and the modest chance for 21°C or higher if mixing persists. Updated model runs tonight will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
11°C or below 94%
21°C or higher 50%
12°C 47%
15°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
94%
12°C
47%
13°C
24%
14°C
24%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
26%
18°C
12%
19°C
9%
20°C
17%
21°C or higher
50%
11°C or below 94%
21°C or higher 50%
12°C 47%
15°C 26%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
11°C or below
$5 Wol.
94%
12°C
$5 Wol.
47%
13°C
$0 Wol.
24%
14°C
$0 Wol.
24%
15°C
$0 Wol.
26%
16°C
$0 Wol.
26%
17°C
$0 Wol.
26%
18°C
$0 Wol.
12%
19°C
$4 Wol.
9%
20°C
$5 Wol.
17%
21°C or higher
$5 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models point to clear skies and northwest winds over Toronto on August 25, 2026, promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C and supporting overnight lows around 14–16°C. This setup, following a cooler air mass, positions 11°C or below as the leading market outcome at 46.5% implied probability amid model consensus on minimal cloud cover and light winds that enhance temperature drops. Historical August 25 averages near 17°C provide context, while forecast uncertainty—typical in short-range guidance—explains clustered probabilities around 12–16°C thresholds and the modest chance for 21°C or higher if mixing persists. Updated model runs tonight will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$24Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models point to clear skies and northwest winds over Toronto on August 25, 2026, promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C and supporting overnight lows around 14–16°C. This setup, following a cooler air mass, positions 11°C or below as the leading market outcome at 46.5% implied probability amid model consensus on minimal cloud cover and light winds that enhance temperature drops. Historical August 25 averages near 17°C provide context, while forecast uncertainty—typical in short-range guidance—explains clustered probabilities around 12–16°C thresholds and the modest chance for 21°C or higher if mixing persists. Updated model runs tonight will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$24Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models point to clear skies and northwest winds over Toronto on August 25, 2026, promoting radiative cooling after daytime highs near 25°C and supporting overnight lows around 14–16°C. This setup, following a cooler air mass, positions 11°C or below as the leading market outcome at 46.5% implied probability amid model consensus on minimal cloud cover and light winds that enhance temperature drops. Historical August 25 averages near 17°C provide context, while forecast uncertainty—typical in short-range guidance—explains clustered probabilities around 12–16°C thresholds and the modest chance for 21°C or higher if mixing persists. Updated model runs tonight will refine these trader-assessed odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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