Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highlight persistent high pressure and clear skies driving dangerous heat, with official guidance centering on a peak near 104–105°F amid a broader Central Texas heat wave featuring multiple days above 100°F. This positions the closely matched 104–105°F (44.5%) and 106–107°F (49.5%) bins as the primary outcomes, reflecting minor differences in model consensus on maximum insolation, afternoon mixing depth, and any stray cloud interference that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°F. Historical August baselines around 100°F underscore how current subsidence and low dew points amplify surface heating, with resolution hinging on official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 23?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 23?
106-107°F 53%
104-105°F 45%
102-103°F 3%
108-109°F 2.4%
NOWE
$18,658 Wol.
NOWE
$18,658 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
45%
106-107°F
48%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
106-107°F 53%
104-105°F 45%
102-103°F 3%
108-109°F 2.4%
NOWE
$18,658 Wol.
NOWE
$18,658 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
95°F or below
$299 Wol.
<1%
96-97°F
$463 Wol.
<1%
98-99°F
$217 Wol.
<1%
100-101°F
$1,522 Wol.
1%
102-103°F
$3,230 Wol.
3%
104-105°F
$3,842 Wol.
45%
106-107°F
$5,348 Wol.
48%
108-109°F
$2,229 Wol.
2%
110-111°F
$948 Wol.
<1%
112-113°F
$302 Wol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$337 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highlight persistent high pressure and clear skies driving dangerous heat, with official guidance centering on a peak near 104–105°F amid a broader Central Texas heat wave featuring multiple days above 100°F. This positions the closely matched 104–105°F (44.5%) and 106–107°F (49.5%) bins as the primary outcomes, reflecting minor differences in model consensus on maximum insolation, afternoon mixing depth, and any stray cloud interference that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°F. Historical August baselines around 100°F underscore how current subsidence and low dew points amplify surface heating, with resolution hinging on official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$18,658Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highlight persistent high pressure and clear skies driving dangerous heat, with official guidance centering on a peak near 104–105°F amid a broader Central Texas heat wave featuring multiple days above 100°F. This positions the closely matched 104–105°F (44.5%) and 106–107°F (49.5%) bins as the primary outcomes, reflecting minor differences in model consensus on maximum insolation, afternoon mixing depth, and any stray cloud interference that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°F. Historical August baselines around 100°F underscore how current subsidence and low dew points amplify surface heating, with resolution hinging on official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,658Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Austin highlight persistent high pressure and clear skies driving dangerous heat, with official guidance centering on a peak near 104–105°F amid a broader Central Texas heat wave featuring multiple days above 100°F. This positions the closely matched 104–105°F (44.5%) and 106–107°F (49.5%) bins as the primary outcomes, reflecting minor differences in model consensus on maximum insolation, afternoon mixing depth, and any stray cloud interference that could trim peak temperatures by 1–2°F. Historical August baselines around 100°F underscore how current subsidence and low dew points amplify surface heating, with resolution hinging on official observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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