Forecast consensus from multiple models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, points to overnight lows of 21–23°C in Istanbul on August 24 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly etesian winds that reduce radiative cooling while advecting warmer air from inland areas. These stable conditions, typical of late-August climatology, produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, as urban heat island effects and light winds further limit drops below 20°C or rises above 24°C. With no approaching fronts or significant moisture, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble guidance against historical August minimums near 18–22°C, focusing on any final model updates before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
18°C or below 42%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
42%
19°C
26%
20°C
19%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
31%
24°C
20%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 42%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
23°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$21 Wol.
42%
19°C
$5 Wol.
26%
20°C
$23 Wol.
19%
21°C
$5 Wol.
28%
22°C
$5 Wol.
28%
23°C
$5 Wol.
31%
24°C
$0 Wol.
20%
25°C
$5 Wol.
8%
26°C
$5 Wol.
8%
27°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$167 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, points to overnight lows of 21–23°C in Istanbul on August 24 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly etesian winds that reduce radiative cooling while advecting warmer air from inland areas. These stable conditions, typical of late-August climatology, produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, as urban heat island effects and light winds further limit drops below 20°C or rises above 24°C. With no approaching fronts or significant moisture, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble guidance against historical August minimums near 18–22°C, focusing on any final model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$393Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, points to overnight lows of 21–23°C in Istanbul on August 24 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly etesian winds that reduce radiative cooling while advecting warmer air from inland areas. These stable conditions, typical of late-August climatology, produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, as urban heat island effects and light winds further limit drops below 20°C or rises above 24°C. With no approaching fronts or significant moisture, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble guidance against historical August minimums near 18–22°C, focusing on any final model updates before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$393Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models, including Met Office and BBC guidance, points to overnight lows of 21–23°C in Istanbul on August 24 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and moderate northeasterly etesian winds that reduce radiative cooling while advecting warmer air from inland areas. These stable conditions, typical of late-August climatology, produce the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, as urban heat island effects and light winds further limit drops below 20°C or rises above 24°C. With no approaching fronts or significant moisture, traders weigh the narrow uncertainty range in ensemble guidance against historical August minimums near 18–22°C, focusing on any final model updates before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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