Trader consensus assigns a 98% implied probability to an 8°C low in Cape Town on August 23, reflecting strong agreement among South African Weather Service forecasts and numerical models. Clear to mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds promote efficient overnight radiative cooling typical of the region’s late-winter Mediterranean climate, where historical August minima average near 9–10°C. Current surface observations show midday temperatures around 10–13°C trending downward, with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to moderate the drop. Only an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or localized fog could realistically push the minimum outside the narrow 7–9°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$6,277 Wol.
$6,277 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
6°C or below
1%
7°C
2%
8°C
98%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
8°C 98%
7°C 2%
6°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
$6,277 Wol.
$6,277 Wol.
Aug 23, 2026
6°C or below
$439 Wol.
1%
7°C
$148 Wol.
2%
8°C
$241 Wol.
98%
9°C
$916 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$458 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$472 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$571 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$413 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$58 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$1,259 Wol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$1,303 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 98% implied probability to an 8°C low in Cape Town on August 23, reflecting strong agreement among South African Weather Service forecasts and numerical models. Clear to mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds promote efficient overnight radiative cooling typical of the region’s late-winter Mediterranean climate, where historical August minima average near 9–10°C. Current surface observations show midday temperatures around 10–13°C trending downward, with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to moderate the drop. Only an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or localized fog could realistically push the minimum outside the narrow 7–9°C band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,277Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus assigns a 98% implied probability to an 8°C low in Cape Town on August 23, reflecting strong agreement among South African Weather Service forecasts and numerical models. Clear to mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds promote efficient overnight radiative cooling typical of the region’s late-winter Mediterranean climate, where historical August minima average near 9–10°C. Current surface observations show midday temperatures around 10–13°C trending downward, with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to moderate the drop. Only an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or localized fog could realistically push the minimum outside the narrow 7–9°C band.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,277Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 98% implied probability to an 8°C low in Cape Town on August 23, reflecting strong agreement among South African Weather Service forecasts and numerical models. Clear to mostly clear skies combined with light southerly winds promote efficient overnight radiative cooling typical of the region’s late-winter Mediterranean climate, where historical August minima average near 9–10°C. Current surface observations show midday temperatures around 10–13°C trending downward, with no incoming cold fronts or significant cloud cover to moderate the drop. Only an unforecasted shift in steering patterns or localized fog could realistically push the minimum outside the narrow 7–9°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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