Trader consensus favors 31–32°C as the likely maximum in Panama City, Panama, on August 23 due to persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which limits peak solar insolation and surface heating. Official forecasts indicate a humid tropical airmass with highs near 31°C, dew points around 25–26°C, and 70–80% rain probability during afternoon hours when temperatures typically crest; convection often develops by late morning, capping readings below seasonal normals near 30°C. Model spreads between ECMWF and GFS runs introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, supporting the tight 39.5%/32.5% split while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect suppressed radiative warming under overcast skies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 23?
31°C 41%
32°C 31%
30°C 18%
33°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
18%
31°C
41%
32°C
31%
33°C
8%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 41%
32°C 31%
30°C 18%
33°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 23, 2026
24°C or below
$170 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$437 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$824 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$873 Wol.
1%
28°C
$590 Wol.
2%
29°C
$730 Wol.
4%
30°C
$803 Wol.
18%
31°C
$741 Wol.
41%
32°C
$981 Wol.
31%
33°C
$629 Wol.
8%
34°C or higher
$402 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors 31–32°C as the likely maximum in Panama City, Panama, on August 23 due to persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which limits peak solar insolation and surface heating. Official forecasts indicate a humid tropical airmass with highs near 31°C, dew points around 25–26°C, and 70–80% rain probability during afternoon hours when temperatures typically crest; convection often develops by late morning, capping readings below seasonal normals near 30°C. Model spreads between ECMWF and GFS runs introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, supporting the tight 39.5%/32.5% split while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect suppressed radiative warming under overcast skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,180Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors 31–32°C as the likely maximum in Panama City, Panama, on August 23 due to persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which limits peak solar insolation and surface heating. Official forecasts indicate a humid tropical airmass with highs near 31°C, dew points around 25–26°C, and 70–80% rain probability during afternoon hours when temperatures typically crest; convection often develops by late morning, capping readings below seasonal normals near 30°C. Model spreads between ECMWF and GFS runs introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, supporting the tight 39.5%/32.5% split while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect suppressed radiative warming under overcast skies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$7,180Data zakończenia
Aug 23, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 31–32°C as the likely maximum in Panama City, Panama, on August 23 due to persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms tied to the Intertropical Convergence Zone, which limits peak solar insolation and surface heating. Official forecasts indicate a humid tropical airmass with highs near 31°C, dew points around 25–26°C, and 70–80% rain probability during afternoon hours when temperatures typically crest; convection often develops by late morning, capping readings below seasonal normals near 30°C. Model spreads between ECMWF and GFS runs introduce modest uncertainty around the exact peak, supporting the tight 39.5%/32.5% split while lower probabilities for 33°C+ reflect suppressed radiative warming under overcast skies.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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