Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 25 most likely between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating limited by increased cloud cover and slightly below-normal 850 hPa temperatures relative to mid-August climatology, when highs reached 31°C. Key variables that could shift the final maximum include the exact timing and extent of afternoon cloud build-up versus clear intervals, local urban heat-island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next day will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Milan on August 25?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 25?
27°C 35%
26°C 27%
28°C 27%
29°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
27%
27°C
35%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 35%
26°C 27%
28°C 27%
29°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
20°C or below
$31 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$19 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$9 Wol.
1%
23°C
$9 Wol.
1%
24°C
$9 Wol.
2%
25°C
$191 Wol.
8%
26°C
$229 Wol.
27%
27°C
$124 Wol.
35%
28°C
$41 Wol.
27%
29°C
$21 Wol.
11%
30°C or higher
$4 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 25 most likely between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating limited by increased cloud cover and slightly below-normal 850 hPa temperatures relative to mid-August climatology, when highs reached 31°C. Key variables that could shift the final maximum include the exact timing and extent of afternoon cloud build-up versus clear intervals, local urban heat-island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next day will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$688Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 25 most likely between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating limited by increased cloud cover and slightly below-normal 850 hPa temperatures relative to mid-August climatology, when highs reached 31°C. Key variables that could shift the final maximum include the exact timing and extent of afternoon cloud build-up versus clear intervals, local urban heat-island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next day will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$688Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate peak temperatures in Milan on August 25 most likely between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent model runs show modest daytime heating limited by increased cloud cover and slightly below-normal 850 hPa temperatures relative to mid-August climatology, when highs reached 31°C. Key variables that could shift the final maximum include the exact timing and extent of afternoon cloud build-up versus clear intervals, local urban heat-island effects, and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window from agencies such as the Italian Meteorological Service. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data over the next day will provide the clearest signals for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania