Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a highest temperature near 19°C in Cape Town on August 24 under high pressure with mostly clear skies and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest daytime warming typical of late winter, with afternoon peaks aligning closely to the 18–20°C range that holds over 90% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these values while leaving limited room for outliers above 21°C or below 17°C absent unexpected cloud or wind changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 24?
19°C 47%
20°C 24%
18°C 22%
21°C 5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
47%
20°C
24%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 47%
20°C 24%
18°C 22%
21°C 5%
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
22%
19°C
47%
20°C
24%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 1:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a highest temperature near 19°C in Cape Town on August 24 under high pressure with mostly clear skies and moderate southerly to southeasterly winds. This setup favors modest daytime warming typical of late winter, with afternoon peaks aligning closely to the 18–20°C range that holds over 90% of market-implied probability. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day shifts, reinforcing trader consensus around these values while leaving limited room for outliers above 21°C or below 17°C absent unexpected cloud or wind changes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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