Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate sunny, hot conditions for Austin on August 25 with highs near 103–105°F under southerly flow, following a heat wave that produced a 107°F reading on August 23. This ongoing ridge and dry spell support the elevated market-implied odds around 112–113°F or higher, as traders weigh potential for additional intensification against typical late-August climatology near 96°F. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing and dew points creates uncertainty between the 95°F-or-below bucket and extreme tails, with resolution hinging on official observations at stations like Austin-Bergstrom. No major shifts appear imminent before the measurement window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 25?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 25?
102-103°F 50%
104-105°F 37%
108-109°F 14%
110-111°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
95°F or below
12%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
14%
102-103°F
28%
104-105°F
27%
106-107°F
13%
108-109°F
14%
110-111°F
14%
112-113°F
2%
114°F or higher
7%
102-103°F 50%
104-105°F 37%
108-109°F 14%
110-111°F 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 25, 2026
95°F or below
$5 Wol.
12%
96-97°F
$0 Wol.
5%
98-99°F
$21 Wol.
6%
100-101°F
$25 Wol.
14%
102-103°F
$11 Wol.
28%
104-105°F
$5 Wol.
27%
106-107°F
$0 Wol.
13%
108-109°F
$5 Wol.
14%
110-111°F
$5 Wol.
14%
112-113°F
$0 Wol.
2%
114°F or higher
$0 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate sunny, hot conditions for Austin on August 25 with highs near 103–105°F under southerly flow, following a heat wave that produced a 107°F reading on August 23. This ongoing ridge and dry spell support the elevated market-implied odds around 112–113°F or higher, as traders weigh potential for additional intensification against typical late-August climatology near 96°F. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing and dew points creates uncertainty between the 95°F-or-below bucket and extreme tails, with resolution hinging on official observations at stations like Austin-Bergstrom. No major shifts appear imminent before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$77Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate sunny, hot conditions for Austin on August 25 with highs near 103–105°F under southerly flow, following a heat wave that produced a 107°F reading on August 23. This ongoing ridge and dry spell support the elevated market-implied odds around 112–113°F or higher, as traders weigh potential for additional intensification against typical late-August climatology near 96°F. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing and dew points creates uncertainty between the 95°F-or-below bucket and extreme tails, with resolution hinging on official observations at stations like Austin-Bergstrom. No major shifts appear imminent before the measurement window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$77Data zakończenia
Aug 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate sunny, hot conditions for Austin on August 25 with highs near 103–105°F under southerly flow, following a heat wave that produced a 107°F reading on August 23. This ongoing ridge and dry spell support the elevated market-implied odds around 112–113°F or higher, as traders weigh potential for additional intensification against typical late-August climatology near 96°F. Minor model spread in afternoon mixing and dew points creates uncertainty between the 95°F-or-below bucket and extreme tails, with resolution hinging on official observations at stations like Austin-Bergstrom. No major shifts appear imminent before the measurement window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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