Recent numerical weather model guidance from sources including GFS and regional forecasts positions minimum temperatures in Warsaw for September 1 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow following a frontal passage. This drives the market’s emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, while cooler bins such as 12°C or below reflect residual model spread and historical September minima near 11–13°C that traders incorporate amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities as land-breeze and cloud-cover details evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
9月1日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
12°C or below 37%
15°C 31%
16°C 30%
17°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
12°C or below
37%
13°C
9%
14°C
21%
15°C
31%
16°C
30%
17°C
26%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
8%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
2%
12°C or below 37%
15°C 31%
16°C 30%
17°C 26%
新規
新規
2026/09/01
12°C or below
$49 Vol.
37%
13°C
$0 Vol.
9%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
31%
16°C
$0 Vol.
30%
17°C
$0 Vol.
26%
18°C
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
5%
20°C
$10 Vol.
8%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C or higher
$225 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance from sources including GFS and regional forecasts positions minimum temperatures in Warsaw for September 1 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow following a frontal passage. This drives the market’s emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, while cooler bins such as 12°C or below reflect residual model spread and historical September minima near 11–13°C that traders incorporate amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities as land-breeze and cloud-cover details evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$289終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance from sources including GFS and regional forecasts positions minimum temperatures in Warsaw for September 1 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow following a frontal passage. This drives the market’s emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, while cooler bins such as 12°C or below reflect residual model spread and historical September minima near 11–13°C that traders incorporate amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities as land-breeze and cloud-cover details evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$289終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent numerical weather model guidance from sources including GFS and regional forecasts positions minimum temperatures in Warsaw for September 1 in the 15–17°C range, with overnight lows near 16°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow following a frontal passage. This drives the market’s emphasis on 15°C and 16°C outcomes, while cooler bins such as 12°C or below reflect residual model spread and historical September minima near 11–13°C that traders incorporate amid forecast uncertainty. Upcoming high-resolution model runs and official Polish Institute of Meteorology updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities as land-breeze and cloud-cover details evolve.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問