Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日のワルシャワの最高気温は?
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
9%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
21°C 38%
20°C 13%
23°C 9%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
13%
21°C
38%
22°C
39%
23°C
9%
24°C
4%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models place Warsaw's maximum temperature on September 1 near 21–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light westerly flow and limited moisture. Scattered showers or variable cloud cover could suppress daytime heating by 1–2°C in some runs, while clearer intervals or slightly stronger insolation support the upper end. This narrow spread, combined with historical early-September norms around 20–23°C, drives the near-even market split between 21°C and 22°C outcomes. Traders weigh the latest model runs and potential steering-pattern shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問