Official meteorological observations from Warsaw-area stations, including Chopin Airport and IMGW networks, recorded a daily maximum of precisely 26°C on August 30 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-teens. This outcome aligns with late-August climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range 24–26°C amid weakening summer insolation and moderate humidity. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts, with model agreement on limited diurnal heating. Only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon surge or station-specific discrepancy could alter the reading, though post-sunset cooling and stable pressure gradients make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のワルシャワの最高気温は?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,021 Vol.
$19,021 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$19,021 Vol.
$19,021 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Official meteorological observations from Warsaw-area stations, including Chopin Airport and IMGW networks, recorded a daily maximum of precisely 26°C on August 30 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-teens. This outcome aligns with late-August climatological norms for the region, where typical highs range 24–26°C amid weakening summer insolation and moderate humidity. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects verified surface data rather than forecasts, with model agreement on limited diurnal heating. Only an uncharacteristic late-afternoon surge or station-specific discrepancy could alter the reading, though post-sunset cooling and stable pressure gradients make such shifts improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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