Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 21–23°C in Toronto on August 30 under persistent overcast skies and light rain, with hourly peaks reaching 23°C amid southwest winds near 5–10 km/h. Cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below the late-August climatological average of ~25°C. Trader consensus around 22°C (37% implied probability) and adjacent 21–23°C bins reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while lower odds for 24°C+ account for minor forecast uncertainty from humidex values near 28°C. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のトロントの最高気温は?
22℃ 34%
21℃ 28%
23℃ 27%
24°C 11%
$14,392 Vol.
$14,392 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
28%
22℃
34%
23℃
27%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27℃以上
1%
22℃ 34%
21℃ 28%
23℃ 27%
24°C 11%
$14,392 Vol.
$14,392 Vol.
17℃以下
<1%
18℃
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21℃
28%
22℃
34%
23℃
27%
24°C
11%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 2:55 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 21–23°C in Toronto on August 30 under persistent overcast skies and light rain, with hourly peaks reaching 23°C amid southwest winds near 5–10 km/h. Cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and evaporative cooling, capping temperatures below the late-August climatological average of ~25°C. Trader consensus around 22°C (37% implied probability) and adjacent 21–23°C bins reflects model agreement on these thresholds, while lower odds for 24°C+ account for minor forecast uncertainty from humidex values near 28°C. Updated model runs and Environment Canada briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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