Trader consensus on 21°C as the day's maximum in Amsterdam stems from real-time meteorological observations and model agreement showing afternoon highs stabilizing near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 21.1°C. Persistent southwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain or drizzle have suppressed radiative heating, keeping readings at or just below this threshold through the afternoon per station data from Schiphol and nearby sites. Ensemble forecasts from global models exhibit tight clustering around this value with low spread. A rapid clearing trend or unexpected subsidence warming could push readings to 22°C or higher before sunset, though current conditions make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?
21°C 97%
22℃ 4%
23℃ <1%
16℃以下 <1%
$37,870 Vol.
$37,870 Vol.
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
97%
22℃
4%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
21°C 97%
22℃ 4%
23℃ <1%
16℃以下 <1%
$37,870 Vol.
$37,870 Vol.
16℃以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
97%
22℃
4%
23℃
<1%
24°C
<1%
25℃
<1%
26℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on 21°C as the day's maximum in Amsterdam stems from real-time meteorological observations and model agreement showing afternoon highs stabilizing near the 1991–2020 climatological average of 21.1°C. Persistent southwest flow, extensive cloud cover, and periods of light rain or drizzle have suppressed radiative heating, keeping readings at or just below this threshold through the afternoon per station data from Schiphol and nearby sites. Ensemble forecasts from global models exhibit tight clustering around this value with low spread. A rapid clearing trend or unexpected subsidence warming could push readings to 22°C or higher before sunset, though current conditions make such shifts improbable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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