Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional observations indicates radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw’s overnight minimum to 11°C, producing the market’s 99% implied probability. Surface observations show dew points near 13–14°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, consistent with typical late-August boundary-layer behavior when high pressure dominates. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk from warm advection or increased cloud cover. A modest increase in low-level moisture or an earlier frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or above, while stronger radiative losses might briefly dip toward 10°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月30日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
8月30日のワルシャワの最低気温は？
11°C 99%
10°C 2%
9°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$2,265 Vol.
$2,265 Vol.
2026/08/30
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
99%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99%
10°C 2%
9°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
$2,265 Vol.
$2,265 Vol.
2026/08/30
9°C or below
$271 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$170 Vol.
2%
11°C
$113 Vol.
99%
12°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$305 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional observations indicates radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw’s overnight minimum to 11°C, producing the market’s 99% implied probability. Surface observations show dew points near 13–14°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, consistent with typical late-August boundary-layer behavior when high pressure dominates. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk from warm advection or increased cloud cover. A modest increase in low-level moisture or an earlier frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or above, while stronger radiative losses might briefly dip toward 10°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$2,265終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional observations indicates radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw’s overnight minimum to 11°C, producing the market’s 99% implied probability. Surface observations show dew points near 13–14°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, consistent with typical late-August boundary-layer behavior when high pressure dominates. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk from warm advection or increased cloud cover. A modest increase in low-level moisture or an earlier frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or above, while stronger radiative losses might briefly dip toward 10°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$2,265終了日
2026/08/30マーケット開始日
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent meteorological model consensus from sources including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and regional observations indicates radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies will drive Warsaw’s overnight minimum to 11°C, producing the market’s 99% implied probability. Surface observations show dew points near 13–14°C and light southerly winds limiting mixing, consistent with typical late-August boundary-layer behavior when high pressure dominates. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, with limited upside risk from warm advection or increased cloud cover. A modest increase in low-level moisture or an earlier frontal passage could push readings to 12°C or above, while stronger radiative losses might briefly dip toward 10°C, though both remain low-probability outcomes given current guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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