Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 most likely between 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of late summer. Nighttime radiative cooling will be moderated by warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a light westerly sea breeze, limiting how far surface air cools after sunset. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering of market probabilities around these values, with slight differences hinging on exact timing of any thin high clouds or minor wind shifts that could alter the nocturnal boundary layer. Historical August lows average near 23–25°C, so traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of enhanced cooling if winds drop.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のテルアビブの最低気温は?
23°C 34%
24°C 29%
22°C 28%
25°C 28%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 34%
24°C 29%
22°C 28%
25°C 28%
20°C or below
1%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
29%
25°C
28%
26°C
28%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models point to a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on August 24 most likely between 22–24°C under clear to partly cloudy skies typical of late summer. Nighttime radiative cooling will be moderated by warm Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures near 28–29°C and a light westerly sea breeze, limiting how far surface air cools after sunset. Ensemble spreads in ECMWF and GFS runs create the tight clustering of market probabilities around these values, with slight differences hinging on exact timing of any thin high clouds or minor wind shifts that could alter the nocturnal boundary layer. Historical August lows average near 23–25°C, so traders weigh model consensus against the small chance of enhanced cooling if winds drop.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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