Current forecast models indicate overnight minimums in the Seoul-Incheon area will likely settle near 25–26°C on August 24, driven by persistently high dew points around 24–25°C that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Elevated humidity and recent regional moisture from prior showers reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while the urban heat island effect in this coastal metro area adds further warmth. Traders assign near-even odds to 25°C versus 26°C because small differences in cloud cover timing or localized wind patterns can shift the exact low by 1°C, with official agencies like KMA showing consensus around 26°C minima. Historical August baselines near 23°C underscore how current atmospheric moisture keeps readings elevated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のソウル(仁川)の最低気温は?
26°C 49%
25°C 38%
27°C 14%
23°C 5%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
38%
26°C
50%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 49%
25°C 38%
27°C 14%
23°C 5%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C
38%
26°C
50%
27°C
10%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models indicate overnight minimums in the Seoul-Incheon area will likely settle near 25–26°C on August 24, driven by persistently high dew points around 24–25°C that limit radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds. Elevated humidity and recent regional moisture from prior showers reduce the typical nocturnal temperature drop, while the urban heat island effect in this coastal metro area adds further warmth. Traders assign near-even odds to 25°C versus 26°C because small differences in cloud cover timing or localized wind patterns can shift the exact low by 1°C, with official agencies like KMA showing consensus around 26°C minima. Historical August baselines near 23°C underscore how current atmospheric moisture keeps readings elevated.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問