Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan around 20–22°C on August 25, with daytime highs near 28°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms driven by modest instability and light easterly flow. This places the minimum near normal late-summer values, yet the near-even market split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below reflects lingering uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, cloud-cover evolution, and any late-arriving frontal boundary. Traders weigh ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs, where small shifts in dew-point depression or wind mixing could tip the minimum several degrees either way before final observations from local stations resolve the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月25日のミラノの最低気温は?
14°C or below 91%
24°C or higher 91%
19°C 29%
18°C 27%
14°C or below
91%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
91%
14°C or below 91%
24°C or higher 91%
19°C 29%
18°C 27%
14°C or below
91%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
27%
19°C
29%
20°C
25%
21°C
25%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
91%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate overnight lows in Milan around 20–22°C on August 25, with daytime highs near 28°C amid scattered showers or thunderstorms driven by modest instability and light easterly flow. This places the minimum near normal late-summer values, yet the near-even market split between 24°C-or-higher and 14°C-or-below reflects lingering uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, cloud-cover evolution, and any late-arriving frontal boundary. Traders weigh ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs, where small shifts in dew-point depression or wind mixing could tip the minimum several degrees either way before final observations from local stations resolve the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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