Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including NOAA-aligned stations and global models converge on a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 24, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26–28°C. Persistent southwesterly sea breezes off the Arabian Sea, elevated monsoon humidity above 80%, and variable cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping overnight lows near seasonal norms rather than allowing deeper drops. Recent observations show minima of 26.6°C on August 22 with no major synoptic shifts expected, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around these values while leaving modest room for 28°C if clearer skies develop.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月24日のカラチの最低気温は?
27℃ 37%
28°C 35%
29℃ 33%
31°C以上 31%
21℃以下
1%
22℃
9%
23℃
5%
24℃
17%
25°C
16%
26℃
20%
27℃
45%
28°C
20%
29℃
33%
30℃
12%
31°C以上
31%
27℃ 37%
28°C 35%
29℃ 33%
31°C以上 31%
21℃以下
1%
22℃
9%
23℃
5%
24℃
17%
25°C
16%
26℃
20%
27℃
45%
28°C
20%
29℃
33%
30℃
12%
31°C以上
31%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 22, 2026, 2:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official and ensemble forecasts from sources including NOAA-aligned stations and global models converge on a minimum temperature of 26–27°C for Karachi on August 24, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes at 27°C (44.5% implied probability) and 26–28°C. Persistent southwesterly sea breezes off the Arabian Sea, elevated monsoon humidity above 80%, and variable cloud cover limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping overnight lows near seasonal norms rather than allowing deeper drops. Recent observations show minima of 26.6°C on August 22 with no major synoptic shifts expected, supporting the tight clustering of trader consensus around these values while leaving modest room for 28°C if clearer skies develop.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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