Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, aligning with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions and August climatology near 31–32°C. This consensus drives the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome, as recent runs show stable high pressure with limited cloud cover or stronger sea breezes that could suppress peaks. Official resolution will rely on the verified station reading rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted convective activity or enhanced onshore flow develops before peak heating, though current data show low likelihood of deviation beyond 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月23日のテルアビブの最高気温は?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$15,849 Vol.
$15,849 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$15,849 Vol.
$15,849 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the UK Met Office indicate a daytime maximum of 32°C for Tel Aviv on August 23, 2026, aligning with typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions and August climatology near 31–32°C. This consensus drives the market-implied probability near 100% for that outcome, as recent runs show stable high pressure with limited cloud cover or stronger sea breezes that could suppress peaks. Official resolution will rely on the verified station reading rather than models. A realistic shift could occur only if unforecasted convective activity or enhanced onshore flow develops before peak heating, though current data show low likelihood of deviation beyond 1°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問