Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate a daytime high near 15°C in Moscow on September 6, driven by persistent westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover with light rain or showers that limit solar heating. Nighttime lows around 10–12°C further constrain the daily maximum under this regime. The market’s concentration on 14–16°C outcomes reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant forecast revisions in the past 48 hours, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the observation period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のモスクワの最高気温は?
15°C 40%
16°C 23%
14°C 22%
13℃ 12%
10°C以下
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
1%
13℃
12%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18℃
2%
19℃
1%
20℃以上
<1%
15°C 40%
16°C 23%
14°C 22%
13℃ 12%
10°C以下
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
1%
13℃
12%
14°C
22%
15°C
40%
16°C
23%
17°C
5%
18℃
2%
19℃
1%
20℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center and international models indicate a daytime high near 15°C in Moscow on September 6, driven by persistent westerly flow advecting cooler maritime air and widespread cloud cover with light rain or showers that limit solar heating. Nighttime lows around 10–12°C further constrain the daily maximum under this regime. The market’s concentration on 14–16°C outcomes reflects this model consensus and the absence of significant forecast revisions in the past 48 hours, consistent with typical early-September climatology for the region. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the observation period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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