**Current official observations and forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 25°C on September 5, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limited daytime heating.** Afternoon readings stabilized near 25°C amid overcast skies and humidity above 70%, consistent with seasonal September averages under similar synoptic patterns. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 25°C. Clearing skies or a temporary break in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の東京の最高気温は？
9月5日の東京の最高気温は？
25℃ 98.0%
26°C 3%
27℃ <1%
28℃ <1%
$86,350 Vol.
$86,350 Vol.
2026/09/05
21℃以下
<1%
22℃
<1%
23℃
<1%
24℃
<1%
25℃
98%
26°C
3%
27℃
1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
25℃ 98.0%
26°C 3%
27℃ <1%
28℃ <1%
$86,350 Vol.
$86,350 Vol.
2026/09/05
21℃以下
$1,998 Vol.
<1%
22℃
$10,332 Vol.
<1%
23℃
$14,450 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$13,341 Vol.
<1%
25℃
$7,815 Vol.
98%
26°C
$7,625 Vol.
3%
27℃
$6,135 Vol.
1%
28℃
$4,022 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$2,118 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$17,908 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official observations and forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 25°C on September 5, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limited daytime heating.**
Afternoon readings stabilized near 25°C amid overcast skies and humidity above 70%, consistent with seasonal September averages under similar synoptic patterns. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 25°C.
Clearing skies or a temporary break in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$86,350終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current official observations and forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 25°C on September 5, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limited daytime heating.**
Afternoon readings stabilized near 25°C amid overcast skies and humidity above 70%, consistent with seasonal September averages under similar synoptic patterns. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 25°C.
Clearing skies or a temporary break in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$86,350終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current official observations and forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency and international sources indicate a Tokyo maximum temperature of 25°C on September 5, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limited daytime heating.** Afternoon readings stabilized near 25°C amid overcast skies and humidity above 70%, consistent with seasonal September averages under similar synoptic patterns. This strong consensus underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 99% for exactly 25°C. Clearing skies or a temporary break in precipitation could allow brief warming toward 26°C, though model runs show low probability of such shifts before the daily maximum is recorded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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