Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatological normals of 31°C and recent observations showing afternoon readings climbing from 28–30°C amid high humidity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or above, while persistent cloud cover and brief showers cap upside risk. Updated model runs and official station data later in the day remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の深センの最高気温は？
9月5日の深センの最高気温は？
31°C 50%
32℃ 35%
33℃以上 16%
23℃以下 <1%
新規
$26,564 Vol.
新規
$26,564 Vol.
2026/09/05
23℃以下
<1%
24℃
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30℃
<1%
31°C
50%
32℃
35%
33℃以上
16%
31°C 50%
32℃ 35%
33℃以上 16%
23℃以下 <1%
新規
$26,564 Vol.
新規
$26,564 Vol.
2026/09/05
23℃以下
$541 Vol.
<1%
24℃
$305 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$382 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$1,080 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$1,438 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,483 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$8,376 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,819 Vol.
50%
32℃
$4,298 Vol.
35%
33℃以上
$4,440 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatological normals of 31°C and recent observations showing afternoon readings climbing from 28–30°C amid high humidity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or above, while persistent cloud cover and brief showers cap upside risk. Updated model runs and official station data later in the day remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$26,564終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatological normals of 31°C and recent observations showing afternoon readings climbing from 28–30°C amid high humidity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or above, while persistent cloud cover and brief showers cap upside risk. Updated model runs and official station data later in the day remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$26,564終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center and international agencies indicate a daily maximum near 31°C for Shenzhen on September 5, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and isolated thunderstorms. This aligns with September climatological normals of 31°C and recent observations showing afternoon readings climbing from 28–30°C amid high humidity. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies that could push readings to 33°C or above, while persistent cloud cover and brief showers cap upside risk. Updated model runs and official station data later in the day remain the key variables that could shift resolution probabilities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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