Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to overnight lows in Shenzhen on September 6 clustering near 25–27 °C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those exact outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected through the night will reduce radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light winds limit further temperature drops in this humid subtropical environment. Current conditions show surface temperatures holding in the mid-20s °C after sunset, with ensemble runs showing limited spread around the minimum. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 24 °C, but the active monsoon pattern and recent warm advection support the slightly higher consensus. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau later today represent the next key data points that could refine the precise minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日の深センの最低気温は?
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
24℃ 49%
28℃ 49%
21℃以下
14%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24℃
49%
25°C
30%
26℃
37%
27°C
28%
28℃
49%
29℃
7%
30℃
7%
31℃以上
1%
22°C 49%
23°C 49%
24℃ 49%
28℃ 49%
21℃以下
14%
22°C
49%
23°C
49%
24℃
49%
25°C
30%
26℃
37%
27°C
28%
28℃
49%
29℃
7%
30℃
7%
31℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to overnight lows in Shenzhen on September 6 clustering near 25–27 °C, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those exact outcomes. Persistent cloud cover and scattered showers expected through the night will reduce radiative cooling, while elevated humidity and light winds limit further temperature drops in this humid subtropical environment. Current conditions show surface temperatures holding in the mid-20s °C after sunset, with ensemble runs showing limited spread around the minimum. Historical September climatology places typical lows near 24 °C, but the active monsoon pattern and recent warm advection support the slightly higher consensus. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau later today represent the next key data points that could refine the precise minimum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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