Market-implied odds heavily favor a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 5, driven by consistent official forecasts and model consensus showing a maximum around 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and humidity near 60-70%. Current observations midday reached 29-30°C, aligning with seasonal norms for early September when subtropical high pressure and onshore flow typically cap extremes without strong solar heating or southerly advection. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble outputs, which show low variance for exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision or localized urban heat island spike pushing the official maximum to 31°C, though current data and short-term trends make that improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の上海の最高気温は？
9月5日の上海の最高気温は？
30°C 99.6%
31°C <1%
25℃以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
$58,709 Vol.
$58,709 Vol.
2026/09/05
25℃以下
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
<1%
35℃以上
<1%
30°C 99.6%
31°C <1%
25℃以下 <1%
26℃ <1%
$58,709 Vol.
$58,709 Vol.
2026/09/05
25℃以下
$797 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$665 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$3,597 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$4,785 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,944 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15,407 Vol.
100%
31°C
$14,067 Vol.
1%
32℃
$7,558 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
34℃
$461 Vol.
<1%
35℃以上
$244 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 5, driven by consistent official forecasts and model consensus showing a maximum around 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and humidity near 60-70%. Current observations midday reached 29-30°C, aligning with seasonal norms for early September when subtropical high pressure and onshore flow typically cap extremes without strong solar heating or southerly advection. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble outputs, which show low variance for exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision or localized urban heat island spike pushing the official maximum to 31°C, though current data and short-term trends make that improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$58,709終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 5, driven by consistent official forecasts and model consensus showing a maximum around 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and humidity near 60-70%. Current observations midday reached 29-30°C, aligning with seasonal norms for early September when subtropical high pressure and onshore flow typically cap extremes without strong solar heating or southerly advection. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble outputs, which show low variance for exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision or localized urban heat island spike pushing the official maximum to 31°C, though current data and short-term trends make that improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$58,709終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETMarket-implied odds heavily favor a 30°C high in Shanghai on September 5, driven by consistent official forecasts and model consensus showing a maximum around 86°F (30°C) under partly cloudy skies with moderate northeast winds and humidity near 60-70%. Current observations midday reached 29-30°C, aligning with seasonal norms for early September when subtropical high pressure and onshore flow typically cap extremes without strong solar heating or southerly advection. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble outputs, which show low variance for exceeding 30°C. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model revision or localized urban heat island spike pushing the official maximum to 31°C, though current data and short-term trends make that improbable before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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