Recent forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a daily high of 24–25°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and stable high pressure that limits convective heating while allowing modest solar gain. This positions 24°C (53.5% implied probability) and 25°C (36.5%) as the clear market leaders, consistent with the 23°C climatological average and the absence of either a heat dome or stronger onshore flow. Morning observations near 19°C and low precipitation risk reinforce the tight range, with traders weighting official updates from Météo-France and ECMWF runs that show minimal spread. Resolution will hinge on the afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のパリの最高気温は?
24℃ 55%
25℃ 37%
26℃ 6%
23°C 5%
$39,442 Vol.
$39,442 Vol.
20°C以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24℃
55%
25℃
37%
26℃
6%
27°C
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
24℃ 55%
25℃ 37%
26℃ 6%
23°C 5%
$39,442 Vol.
$39,442 Vol.
20°C以下
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
5%
24℃
55%
25℃
37%
26℃
6%
27°C
2%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models show Paris reaching a daily high of 24–25°C on September 5 under partly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and stable high pressure that limits convective heating while allowing modest solar gain. This positions 24°C (53.5% implied probability) and 25°C (36.5%) as the clear market leaders, consistent with the 23°C climatological average and the absence of either a heat dome or stronger onshore flow. Morning observations near 19°C and low precipitation risk reinforce the tight range, with traders weighting official updates from Météo-France and ECMWF runs that show minimal spread. Resolution will hinge on the afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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