Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and regional guidance positions a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit mixing and allow modest warming above the 20.2°C climatological average. Official monitoring shows recent days with maxima of 22–23°C amid stable high pressure, supporting the 61.5% market-implied probability for 22°C while the 20% odds on 23°C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine whether peak readings reach or exceed 23°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のアムステルダムの最高気温は?
22°C 62%
23℃ 20%
21°C 16%
24℃ 4%
$33,088 Vol.
$33,088 Vol.
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
62%
23℃
20%
24℃
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C以上
<1%
22°C 62%
23℃ 20%
21°C 16%
24℃ 4%
$33,088 Vol.
$33,088 Vol.
16℃以下
<1%
17℃
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
62%
23℃
20%
24℃
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and regional guidance positions a daytime high near 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6 under southerly flow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit mixing and allow modest warming above the 20.2°C climatological average. Official monitoring shows recent days with maxima of 22–23°C amid stable high pressure, supporting the 61.5% market-implied probability for 22°C while the 20% odds on 23°C reflect residual uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing. Updated model runs expected overnight will refine whether peak readings reach or exceed 23°C before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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