Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 6 most likely between 11–13 °C, driven by a mild southerly airflow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors the closely bunched market leaders at 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C, with the exact low hinging on the timing of any clearing and precise wind speeds overnight. Historical climatology shows an average September 6 minimum of 11.7 °C at Schiphol, so current conditions imply a near-normal outcome, though model spread of 1–2 °C keeps probabilities distributed across those central bins rather than converging on a single value. Updated model runs tonight will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月6日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
9月6日のアムステルダムの最低気温は？
14℃ 49%
12℃ 27%
11℃ 26%
13℃ 25%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
8°C以下
8%
9℃
14%
10°C
19%
11℃
26%
12℃
27%
13℃
25%
14℃
49%
15℃
17%
16°C
15%
17℃
6%
18℃以上
2%
14℃ 49%
12℃ 27%
11℃ 26%
13℃ 25%
新規
新規
2026/09/06
8°C以下
$0 Vol.
8%
9℃
$0 Vol.
14%
10°C
$0 Vol.
19%
11℃
$0 Vol.
26%
12℃
$0 Vol.
27%
13℃
$0 Vol.
25%
14℃
$0 Vol.
49%
15℃
$0 Vol.
17%
16°C
$0 Vol.
15%
17℃
$0 Vol.
6%
18℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 6 most likely between 11–13 °C, driven by a mild southerly airflow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors the closely bunched market leaders at 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C, with the exact low hinging on the timing of any clearing and precise wind speeds overnight. Historical climatology shows an average September 6 minimum of 11.7 °C at Schiphol, so current conditions imply a near-normal outcome, though model spread of 1–2 °C keeps probabilities distributed across those central bins rather than converging on a single value. Updated model runs tonight will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 6 most likely between 11–13 °C, driven by a mild southerly airflow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors the closely bunched market leaders at 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C, with the exact low hinging on the timing of any clearing and precise wind speeds overnight. Historical climatology shows an average September 6 minimum of 11.7 °C at Schiphol, so current conditions imply a near-normal outcome, though model spread of 1–2 °C keeps probabilities distributed across those central bins rather than converging on a single value. Updated model runs tonight will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/06マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on September 6 most likely between 11–13 °C, driven by a mild southerly airflow, partly cloudy skies, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. This setup favors the closely bunched market leaders at 11 °C, 12 °C, and 13 °C, with the exact low hinging on the timing of any clearing and precise wind speeds overnight. Historical climatology shows an average September 6 minimum of 11.7 °C at Schiphol, so current conditions imply a near-normal outcome, though model spread of 1–2 °C keeps probabilities distributed across those central bins rather than converging on a single value. Updated model runs tonight will be the key near-term catalyst for any shifts in trader positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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