**Latest AEMET guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and low humidity, with afternoon peaks limited by increasing cloud cover.** This places the outcome close to the 36°C market tier while historical September 5 records (all-time high 37.4°C) and urban heat-island effects support modest upside risk toward 37–38°C. Low precipitation probability and stable high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, yet model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates the narrow 46.5%–39.5% split between 37°C and 38°C. Official station readings at Retiro or Barajas will determine resolution, with final values typically reported after 18:00 UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のマドリードの最高気温は？
9月5日のマドリードの最高気温は？
37°C 47%
38°C 37%
36℃ 8%
39℃ 3%
$52,500 Vol.
$52,500 Vol.
2026/09/05
33℃以下
<1%
34°C
<1%
35℃
3%
36℃
8%
37°C
47%
38°C
37%
39℃
3%
40℃
<1%
41℃
<1%
42℃
<1%
43℃以上
<1%
37°C 47%
38°C 37%
36℃ 8%
39℃ 3%
$52,500 Vol.
$52,500 Vol.
2026/09/05
33℃以下
$3,694 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
35℃
$6,285 Vol.
3%
36℃
$11,103 Vol.
8%
37°C
$8,264 Vol.
47%
38°C
$11,748 Vol.
37%
39℃
$5,799 Vol.
3%
40℃
$2,006 Vol.
<1%
41℃
$179 Vol.
<1%
42℃
$1,121 Vol.
<1%
43℃以上
$455 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest AEMET guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and low humidity, with afternoon peaks limited by increasing cloud cover.** This places the outcome close to the 36°C market tier while historical September 5 records (all-time high 37.4°C) and urban heat-island effects support modest upside risk toward 37–38°C. Low precipitation probability and stable high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, yet model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates the narrow 46.5%–39.5% split between 37°C and 38°C. Official station readings at Retiro or Barajas will determine resolution, with final values typically reported after 18:00 UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
音量
$52,500終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest AEMET guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and low humidity, with afternoon peaks limited by increasing cloud cover.** This places the outcome close to the 36°C market tier while historical September 5 records (all-time high 37.4°C) and urban heat-island effects support modest upside risk toward 37–38°C. Low precipitation probability and stable high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, yet model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates the narrow 46.5%–39.5% split between 37°C and 38°C. Official station readings at Retiro or Barajas will determine resolution, with final values typically reported after 18:00 UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$52,500終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Latest AEMET guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 34–36°C under partly cloudy skies, light southwest winds, and low humidity, with afternoon peaks limited by increasing cloud cover.** This places the outcome close to the 36°C market tier while historical September 5 records (all-time high 37.4°C) and urban heat-island effects support modest upside risk toward 37–38°C. Low precipitation probability and stable high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, yet model spread on boundary-layer mixing and exact cloud timing creates the narrow 46.5%–39.5% split between 37°C and 38°C. Official station readings at Retiro or Barajas will determine resolution, with final values typically reported after 18:00 UTC.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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