**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the day's maximum temperature in Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 27–31°C alongside real-time observations reaching 32–33.5°C at multiple stations by mid-afternoon.** Weak southeast winds, partly cloudy skies with only isolated showers, and typical early-September humidity levels around 60–80% have supported afternoon heating near climatological norms of 31°C. Model guidance and surface readings show no significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the market-implied 98.7% probability. A sudden intensification of showers or unforecast stronger winds could cap the high below 32°C, though current conditions and short-term updates make this unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の香港の最高気温は？
9月5日の香港の最高気温は？
32°C 97.7%
33°C 2.2%
34℃以上 <1%
30℃ <1%
$96,204 Vol.
$96,204 Vol.
2026/09/05
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26℃
<1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30℃
<1%
31℃
<1%
32°C
98%
33°C
2%
34℃以上
<1%
32°C 97.7%
33°C 2.2%
34℃以上 <1%
30℃ <1%
$96,204 Vol.
$96,204 Vol.
2026/09/05
24℃以下
$2,299 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$577 Vol.
<1%
27℃
$979 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$2,983 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$5,508 Vol.
<1%
30℃
$17,542 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$21,557 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$20,383 Vol.
98%
33°C
$18,299 Vol.
2%
34℃以上
$5,912 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the day's maximum temperature in Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 27–31°C alongside real-time observations reaching 32–33.5°C at multiple stations by mid-afternoon.** Weak southeast winds, partly cloudy skies with only isolated showers, and typical early-September humidity levels around 60–80% have supported afternoon heating near climatological norms of 31°C. Model guidance and surface readings show no significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the market-implied 98.7% probability.
A sudden intensification of showers or unforecast stronger winds could cap the high below 32°C, though current conditions and short-term updates make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$96,204終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the day's maximum temperature in Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 27–31°C alongside real-time observations reaching 32–33.5°C at multiple stations by mid-afternoon.** Weak southeast winds, partly cloudy skies with only isolated showers, and typical early-September humidity levels around 60–80% have supported afternoon heating near climatological norms of 31°C. Model guidance and surface readings show no significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the market-implied 98.7% probability.
A sudden intensification of showers or unforecast stronger winds could cap the high below 32°C, though current conditions and short-term updates make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$96,204終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors 32°C as the day's maximum temperature in Hong Kong on September 5, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of 27–31°C alongside real-time observations reaching 32–33.5°C at multiple stations by mid-afternoon.** Weak southeast winds, partly cloudy skies with only isolated showers, and typical early-September humidity levels around 60–80% have supported afternoon heating near climatological norms of 31°C. Model guidance and surface readings show no significant cooling from cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the market-implied 98.7% probability. A sudden intensification of showers or unforecast stronger winds could cap the high below 32°C, though current conditions and short-term updates make this unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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