Recent southerly winds and warm air advection ahead of a frontal system are positioning Amsterdam for a peak temperature near 24–26°C on September 7, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes. GFS and other guidance indicate mostly partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs in this range, supported by 850 hPa temperatures several degrees above seasonal normals and minimal cloud suppression during peak heating hours. Ensemble spreads remain modest for a two-day forecast, though slight variations in wind timing or low-level moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that has anchored trader consensus on the upper-20s Celsius band. Updated model runs tomorrow will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
9月7日のアムステルダムの最高気温は？
25°C 46%
24℃ 32%
26°C 16%
22℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
19℃以下
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
2%
22℃
8%
23℃
6%
24℃
32%
25°C
46%
26°C
16%
27℃
5%
28℃
2%
29℃以上
2%
25°C 46%
24℃ 32%
26°C 16%
22℃ 8%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
19℃以下
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22℃
$10 Vol.
8%
23℃
$62 Vol.
6%
24℃
$363 Vol.
32%
25°C
$92 Vol.
46%
26°C
$108 Vol.
16%
27℃
$68 Vol.
5%
28℃
$0 Vol.
2%
29℃以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southerly winds and warm air advection ahead of a frontal system are positioning Amsterdam for a peak temperature near 24–26°C on September 7, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes. GFS and other guidance indicate mostly partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs in this range, supported by 850 hPa temperatures several degrees above seasonal normals and minimal cloud suppression during peak heating hours. Ensemble spreads remain modest for a two-day forecast, though slight variations in wind timing or low-level moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that has anchored trader consensus on the upper-20s Celsius band. Updated model runs tomorrow will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$701終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent southerly winds and warm air advection ahead of a frontal system are positioning Amsterdam for a peak temperature near 24–26°C on September 7, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes. GFS and other guidance indicate mostly partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs in this range, supported by 850 hPa temperatures several degrees above seasonal normals and minimal cloud suppression during peak heating hours. Ensemble spreads remain modest for a two-day forecast, though slight variations in wind timing or low-level moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that has anchored trader consensus on the upper-20s Celsius band. Updated model runs tomorrow will provide the next key data point before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$701終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRecent southerly winds and warm air advection ahead of a frontal system are positioning Amsterdam for a peak temperature near 24–26°C on September 7, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes. GFS and other guidance indicate mostly partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs in this range, supported by 850 hPa temperatures several degrees above seasonal normals and minimal cloud suppression during peak heating hours. Ensemble spreads remain modest for a two-day forecast, though slight variations in wind timing or low-level moisture could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima average near 18–20°C, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that has anchored trader consensus on the upper-20s Celsius band. Updated model runs tomorrow will provide the next key data point before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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