**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits afternoon solar heating.** This aligns with the seasonal average high of 32.7°C for the date and explains the strong market-implied probability (88.5%) for a 34°C peak at the NOAA Baiyun Airport station. Thunderstorms, driven by high humidity and monsoon influences typical in early September, introduce cooling effects through reduced insolation and evaporative processes, keeping temperatures from climbing toward historical extremes like the 37.6°C record. Minor model spreads and brief clearing periods support the smaller probabilities for 35°C (10.5%), while lower outcomes remain negligible given current observations in the mid-20s°C rising toward the expected peak. Real-time station data throughout the day will finalize resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日の広州の最高気温は？
9月5日の広州の最高気温は？
34℃ 91%
35℃ 9%
36℃ <1%
37℃以上 <1%
$75,170 Vol.
$75,170 Vol.
2026/09/05
27℃以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃
<1%
32℃
<1%
33℃
<1%
34℃
91%
35℃
9%
36℃
1%
37℃以上
<1%
34℃ 91%
35℃ 9%
36℃ <1%
37℃以上 <1%
$75,170 Vol.
$75,170 Vol.
2026/09/05
27℃以下
$565 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,662 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$3,826 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,662 Vol.
<1%
31℃
$9,698 Vol.
<1%
32℃
$10,271 Vol.
<1%
33℃
$11,366 Vol.
<1%
34℃
$6,741 Vol.
91%
35℃
$13,197 Vol.
9%
36℃
$9,501 Vol.
1%
37℃以上
$3,683 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits afternoon solar heating.** This aligns with the seasonal average high of 32.7°C for the date and explains the strong market-implied probability (88.5%) for a 34°C peak at the NOAA Baiyun Airport station. Thunderstorms, driven by high humidity and monsoon influences typical in early September, introduce cooling effects through reduced insolation and evaporative processes, keeping temperatures from climbing toward historical extremes like the 37.6°C record. Minor model spreads and brief clearing periods support the smaller probabilities for 35°C (10.5%), while lower outcomes remain negligible given current observations in the mid-20s°C rising toward the expected peak. Real-time station data throughout the day will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
音量
$75,170終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits afternoon solar heating.** This aligns with the seasonal average high of 32.7°C for the date and explains the strong market-implied probability (88.5%) for a 34°C peak at the NOAA Baiyun Airport station. Thunderstorms, driven by high humidity and monsoon influences typical in early September, introduce cooling effects through reduced insolation and evaporative processes, keeping temperatures from climbing toward historical extremes like the 37.6°C record. Minor model spreads and brief clearing periods support the smaller probabilities for 35°C (10.5%), while lower outcomes remain negligible given current observations in the mid-20s°C rising toward the expected peak. Real-time station data throughout the day will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$75,170終了日
2026/09/05マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits afternoon solar heating.** This aligns with the seasonal average high of 32.7°C for the date and explains the strong market-implied probability (88.5%) for a 34°C peak at the NOAA Baiyun Airport station. Thunderstorms, driven by high humidity and monsoon influences typical in early September, introduce cooling effects through reduced insolation and evaporative processes, keeping temperatures from climbing toward historical extremes like the 37.6°C record. Minor model spreads and brief clearing periods support the smaller probabilities for 35°C (10.5%), while lower outcomes remain negligible given current observations in the mid-20s°C rising toward the expected peak. Real-time station data throughout the day will finalize resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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