Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 7 point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly or southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation. Global models show stable subtropical high pressure maintaining above-average warmth for early September, with daytime heating supported by clear intervals and moderate humidity levels near 50%. Minor differences in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the close market-implied odds between 32°C and 34°C, as even modest increases in afternoon insolation or reduced mixing could add 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria around the observed daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日の武漢の最高気温は?
33℃ 26%
34℃ 26%
32°C 16%
31℃ 9%
28℃以下
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
4%
31℃
9%
32°C
16%
33℃
26%
34℃
26%
35℃
10%
36°C
3%
37℃
3%
38℃以上
3%
33℃ 26%
34℃ 26%
32°C 16%
31℃ 9%
28℃以下
1%
29°C
1%
30℃
4%
31℃
9%
32°C
16%
33℃
26%
34℃
26%
35℃
10%
36°C
3%
37℃
3%
38℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts for Wuhan on September 7 point to a peak temperature of 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly or southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation. Global models show stable subtropical high pressure maintaining above-average warmth for early September, with daytime heating supported by clear intervals and moderate humidity levels near 50%. Minor differences in simulated cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing explain the close market-implied odds between 32°C and 34°C, as even modest increases in afternoon insolation or reduced mixing could add 1–2°C. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will narrow resolution criteria around the observed daily maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問