Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high near 78–80°F for New York City on September 7 under sunny skies and light northwest flow. A surface high-pressure ridge centered north of the region is steering drier, slightly cooler continental air while permitting strong daytime heating beneath mostly clear conditions. Dew points in the low to mid-50s and minimal cloud cover should support efficient radiational warming during peak insolation hours, yet the northerly component of the wind limits the upper-end potential seen in recent September heat waves. Historical climatology places the Sept. 7 average high at 79.3°F, providing a benchmark that aligns with the current model consensus and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 78–81°F bins. Updated model runs and any shifts in the ridge position remain the key near-term variables that could nudge the final observed maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月7日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
9月7日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
80～81°F 37%
78～79°F 32%
76〜77°F 20%
84～85°F 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
69°F以下
1%
70〜71°F
2%
72～73°F
10%
華氏74～75度
19%
76〜77°F
20%
78～79°F
32%
80～81°F
37%
82～83°F
17%
84～85°F
20%
86〜87°F
18%
88°F以上
2%
80～81°F 37%
78～79°F 32%
76〜77°F 20%
84～85°F 20%
新規
新規
2026/09/07
69°F以下
$0 Vol.
1%
70〜71°F
$0 Vol.
2%
72～73°F
$0 Vol.
10%
華氏74～75度
$0 Vol.
19%
76〜77°F
$0 Vol.
20%
78～79°F
$0 Vol.
32%
80～81°F
$0 Vol.
37%
82～83°F
$0 Vol.
17%
84～85°F
$0 Vol.
20%
86〜87°F
$0 Vol.
18%
88°F以上
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high near 78–80°F for New York City on September 7 under sunny skies and light northwest flow. A surface high-pressure ridge centered north of the region is steering drier, slightly cooler continental air while permitting strong daytime heating beneath mostly clear conditions. Dew points in the low to mid-50s and minimal cloud cover should support efficient radiational warming during peak insolation hours, yet the northerly component of the wind limits the upper-end potential seen in recent September heat waves. Historical climatology places the Sept. 7 average high at 79.3°F, providing a benchmark that aligns with the current model consensus and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 78–81°F bins. Updated model runs and any shifts in the ridge position remain the key near-term variables that could nudge the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high near 78–80°F for New York City on September 7 under sunny skies and light northwest flow. A surface high-pressure ridge centered north of the region is steering drier, slightly cooler continental air while permitting strong daytime heating beneath mostly clear conditions. Dew points in the low to mid-50s and minimal cloud cover should support efficient radiational warming during peak insolation hours, yet the northerly component of the wind limits the upper-end potential seen in recent September heat waves. Historical climatology places the Sept. 7 average high at 79.3°F, providing a benchmark that aligns with the current model consensus and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 78–81°F bins. Updated model runs and any shifts in the ridge position remain the key near-term variables that could nudge the final observed maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$0終了日
2026/09/07マーケット開始日
Sep 5, 2026, 2:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a high near 78–80°F for New York City on September 7 under sunny skies and light northwest flow. A surface high-pressure ridge centered north of the region is steering drier, slightly cooler continental air while permitting strong daytime heating beneath mostly clear conditions. Dew points in the low to mid-50s and minimal cloud cover should support efficient radiational warming during peak insolation hours, yet the northerly component of the wind limits the upper-end potential seen in recent September heat waves. Historical climatology places the Sept. 7 average high at 79.3°F, providing a benchmark that aligns with the current model consensus and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 78–81°F bins. Updated model runs and any shifts in the ridge position remain the key near-term variables that could nudge the final observed maximum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問