Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 5, 2026, center the daily maximum near 81°F at LaGuardia Airport, driven by a post-frontal northerly wind shift that advected drier, cooler air following mid-week highs in the mid-80s. Mostly sunny skies with light 5–10 mph north-northwest winds and modest boundary-layer mixing are limiting afternoon heating close to the early-September climatological average of 80°F. Ensemble model consensus shows tight clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s, with minimal spread on peak timing or dew-point suppression, positioning the 80–81°F bin as the dominant market outcome while secondary probabilities on adjacent ranges reflect residual uncertainty in exact insolation and wind trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月5日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は?
80〜81°F 67%
78〜79°F 26%
82〜83°F 6%
76〜77°F 5%
$31,475 Vol.
$31,475 Vol.
69°F以下
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
華氏74〜75度
<1%
76〜77°F
5%
78〜79°F
26%
80〜81°F
67%
82〜83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
86~87°F
<1%
88°F以上
<1%
80〜81°F 67%
78〜79°F 26%
82〜83°F 6%
76〜77°F 5%
$31,475 Vol.
$31,475 Vol.
69°F以下
<1%
70〜71°F
<1%
72〜73°F
<1%
華氏74〜75度
<1%
76〜77°F
5%
78〜79°F
26%
80〜81°F
67%
82〜83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
86~87°F
<1%
88°F以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 5, 2026, center the daily maximum near 81°F at LaGuardia Airport, driven by a post-frontal northerly wind shift that advected drier, cooler air following mid-week highs in the mid-80s. Mostly sunny skies with light 5–10 mph north-northwest winds and modest boundary-layer mixing are limiting afternoon heating close to the early-September climatological average of 80°F. Ensemble model consensus shows tight clustering in the upper 70s to low 80s, with minimal spread on peak timing or dew-point suppression, positioning the 80–81°F bin as the dominant market outcome while secondary probabilities on adjacent ranges reflect residual uncertainty in exact insolation and wind trajectory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問